San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The San Francisco Giants (27-26) welcome the New York Mets (21-30) to Citi Field Sunday for the finae of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 4-1

The Mets lost 7-2 Saturday and 8-7 Saturday, closing as a -144 and -140 favorite in each. They have now lost 5 in a row, going 1-4 against the spread (ATS). New York is 2-10 over its last 12 games. It is 23-28 ATS this season.

The Giants have won 4 straight games and have covered in each. Having won 8 of their last 9 games, the Giants sit 2nd in the NL West. San Francisco has struggled on the road and is just 12-16 away from home this season.

Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Webb (4-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 7-6 road loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
• 2024 road splits: 1-3, 5.34 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 40 H, 2 HR, 11 BB, 30 K in 6 starts
• Career vs. Mets: 3-1, 1.73 ERA (26 IP, 5 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Manaea (3-1, 3.11 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-3 road win over the Miami Marlins Sunday
• 2024 home splits: 0-1, 3.48 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 17 H, 1 HR, 10 BB, 21 K in 4 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 3-3, 2.78 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 12 starts

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Giants at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:04 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+130) | Mets +1.5 (-156)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 4

BET METS (+102).

The Mets may be struggling as a team, but they have been almost unbeatable with Manaea on the mound, having won 5 of his last 6 starts.

While the Giants have performed well as of late, San Fran hasn’t been good as a road favorite and is just 4-6 on the season. Considering those trends, back METS (+102).

PASS.

There’s not a lot of value in either option here. The Mets +1.5 (-156) are too expensive as a run-line underdog while the Giants -1.5 (+130) are too risky, especially given Manaea’s recent success, as a run-line favorite.

Avoid a run line play.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-106).

The Mets have allowed at least 6 runs in 4 straight games and have scored at least 6 runs in 2 of those. They have gone Over in 8 of their last 10 and 8-1-1 O/U in the stretch. New York is 27-23-1 O/U on the season.

The Giants have gone Over in 5 straight games and have topped the total in 10 of their last 12 games. The bats for both teams have been hot. Expect that to continue and take OVER 7.5 (-106).

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