Michigan Panthers at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

The Michigan Panthers (2-2) travel to meet the Memphis Showboats (1-3) Sunday at the Simmons Bank Liberty Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Panthers lost 19-9 as a 1.5-point underdog last week against the San Antonio Brahmas as the Under (42.5) easily connected. The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 games, while Michigan has split 2-2 against the spread (ATS).

The Showboats won the season opener in Houston, but Memphis has dropped 3 straight games, and it has failed to cover the past 2 outings. The offense has struggled, going for 19 or fewer points, while averaging 17.0 points per game (PPG). The defense was fine in the 1st 2 games, but it has allowed 32.5 PPG in the past 2 outings as the Over has hit in each contest.

These teams met at Ford Field in Week 4 last season, with Memphis picking up a 29-10 win as a 6.5-point underdog as the Under (45) cashed.

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Panthers at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Showboats -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-115) | Showboats -1.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Panthers at Showboats key injuries

Panthers

• RB Raymond Calais (suspension) out
• TE Derrick Deese (undisclosed) out
• WR John Hightower (undisclosed) out
• RB Nate McCrary (undisclosed) out
• QB Bryce Perkins (undisclosed) out
• QB E.J. Perry (hamstring) injured reserve
• WR Devin Ross (undisclosed) out

Showboats

• WR Dee Anderson (undisclosed) out
• QB Josh Love (undisclosed) out

Panthers at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Showboats 18, Panthers 16

The SHOWBOATS (-120) are worth a look at home in what is expected to be a tight game. In fact, playing the moneyline is much better than laying the points, as this could potentially come down to a point or 2. Both of these teams struggle offensively, while both are pretty decent defensively.

The Showboats -1.5 (-105) are a little cheaper to lay the small amount of points. But it really could come down to a single point. Both of these teams struggle on offense, and we’re unlikely to see a big margin of victory.

AVOID, and stick with the moneyline here.

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UNDER 40.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

The Under has cashed in 3 of 4 games for the Panthers, with Michigan’s defense allowing 20 or fewer points in each of its 4 games. The offense has scored 18 or fewer points in 3 of those outings, too.

For the Showboats, they’ve scored 19 or fewer points in all 4 outings, and the only concern with playing the Under is the Memphis defense. The Boats have allowed 65 total points in the past 2 games, but that was against Birmingham and St. Louis, 2 of the top offenses in the UFL. Michigan’s offense certainly won’t be confused with those 2 juggernauts.

For more sports betting picks and tips

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