The Atlanta Braves (19-8) and Seattle Mariners (16-13) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Tuesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 1-0
Seattle picked up a 2-1 series opener win behind a walk-off 2-run HR from C Mitch Garver and an impressive start from RHP Bryce Miller , who allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings in a game which easily cashed the Under (7).
The Braves tied a season low with the 1 run scored, as they also lost 5-1 in Miami against the Marlins April 13. The Under has cashed in 7 straight games for Atlanta. The Braves are on an 11-2 run to the Under in their past 13 games overall and a 4-0 run in their last 4 on the road.
The Mariners have won 4 of the past 5 games, and they’re also on an impressive Under run, as the total has gone low in 6 straight, 11 of the past 12, and 17 of the previous 19 contests. The Under is also 11-2 in the past 13 interleague games for Seattle.
Braves at Mariners projected starters
RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. RHP Luis Castillo
Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 25 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K (82 pitches) in 4-3 home victory in 10 innings vs. Miami Marlins last Wednesday
- 2023 road splits: 1-0, 0.75 ERA, 12 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 12 K, .186 opponents’ batting average and 0.92 WHIP in 2 starts
Castillo (2-4, 4.15 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 4-3 road win vs. Texas Rangers Thursday
- 2024 home splits: 0-3, 5.40 ERA, 16 2/3 IP, 11 R, 10 ER, 23 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 21 K in 3 starts
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Braves at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML) : Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Braves -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Braves at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Mariners 2
The BRAVES ( -125 ) are a solid play to bounce back after Monday’s series opener loss.
Atlanta has been getting tremendous pitching from Lopez, who has fired out of the chute by posting All-Star caliber numbers in the first month of the season. On the flip side, Seattle hasn’t been getting the same kind of production from Castillo. Lately, the Mariners (+105) have seen the right-hander turn it around, but he has struggled mightily at home.
If you’re a little more adventurous, back the BRAVES -1.5 (+145) on the run line rather than playing the moneyline. Don’t do both.
It’s a little more risky, as Atlanta has won 3 of the past 5 games but only covered the run line in 1 of those 3 outings as the favorite, and the Braves are 0-2 in the past 2 tries on the road as run-line favorites. In addition, as well as Lopez has pitched, the Braves are 0-3 in his 3 starts on the run line when favored.
TOTAL 7 (O: -105 | U: -115) should be an AVOID play, as I expect the total number of runs to come right down on the number. If there was a lean, it would be low, based on Lopez’s solid production, but Castillo has been awful at home, too. The best bet is to take a PASS .
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For more sports betting picks and tips , check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW .
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