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Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 6 odds, picks and predictions
By Ethan Matthew,
15 days ago
The Denver Nuggets face the Minnesota Timberwolves Thursday in Game 6 of the best-of-7 Western Conference semifinals. Tip-off from Target Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesodds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Series: Nuggets lead 3-2; regular season was tied 2-2
Finally the home team won. Unfortunately for Minnesota that means they are 1 game away from being eliminated. Timberwolves G Anthony Edwards shot 1-5 from beyond the arc and the entire team didn’t do that much better, hitting just 30.8% from 3.
Nuggets C Nikola Jokic, on the other hand, made 2 of his 3 treys and shot 15-for-22 overall to notch a 40-point game in their 112-97 victory. Denver easily covered their -4.5 spread and the Over (204.5) hit by 5 points.
It appears this Nuggets team has figured out the Timberwolves. The pressure is on Minnesota, but this team is still relatively young.
With the Timberwolves winning 2 games in Denver already this series, the Nuggets should treat this like a Game 7, matching Minnesota’s urgency.
LEAN NUGGETS (+110).
As a home favorite in the regular season, the Timberwolves won in 70.7% of their games. However, against the spread in those games they covered just 41% of the time.
Since I like Denver, I certainly would consider taking the points as insurance. But no need to pay the juice; if you like Denver to win just play the moneyline for a better value.
PASS.
The line for 1st 2 games was set at 209.5 and both games went Under. Since then the books dropped it to 205 and the next 3 games went Over (and 2 of those totals were below 209.5).
While the current line is 203.5, I think 4 straight Overs will be tough to hit since both teams should be playing desperately.
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