Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Western Conference Semifinals Game 6 Preview for May 16

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets are meeting in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 6 next to come.

The Timberwolves are just a 2-point favorite when they and the Nuggets hit the court in a game oddsmakers project to be a tight matchup. The game's point total is set at 204.5.

In their last game, the Timberwolves got a team-high 23 points from Karl-Anthony Towns in a 112-97 loss to the Nuggets on Tuesday. No line was set for the matchup, and the teams combined to score 209 points to go over the point total. The Nuggets knocked off the Timberwolves 112-97 in their last contest on Tuesday. Nikola Jokic racked up a team-high 40 points to lead the team to the victory. No line was set for the matchup, and the teams combined to hit the over on the point total.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-39-3 this season.
• So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as favorites by a 2-point margin or more 59 times and are 27-29-3 ATS in those contests.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
• The 113.0 points per game the Timberwolves put up are just 3.4 more points than the Nuggets surrender (109.6).
• When scoring more than 109.6 points, Minnesota is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall.
• The Nuggets are 38-41-3 against the spread this year.
• Denver is 5-3 ATS when underdogs by 2 points or more this season.
• Nuggets games this season have hit the over on 35 of 82 set point totals (42.7%).
• The Nuggets score 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves cede to opponents (106.5).
• In games that it scores more than 106.5 points, Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Last 10 Games

• The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• In their past 10 contests, the Timberwolves have hit the over seven times.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 5.3 points more than the 204.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Over their past 10 games, the Timberwolves are putting up 4.5 fewer points per game than their season-long scoring average.
• The Nuggets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• In their past 10 contests, the Nuggets have hit the over four times.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 213.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.3 more than the 204.5 over/under in this matchup.
• During their past 10 games, the Nuggets' per-game scoring average is 106.6, 8.3 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Over/Under Trends

• This season, Timberwolves games have hit the over on this game's 204.5-point total 69 times.
• A total of 72 of the Nuggets games have ended with a combined score higher than 204.5 points this season.
• The over/under for this game of 204.5 is 23.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for Minnesota (113.0) and Denver (114.9).
• These two teams give up a combined 216.1 points per game, 11.6 more than this contest's over/under.
• The Timberwolves have a 219.5 average over/under in their games this season, 15.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Nuggets games have a total points bet of 224.5 points this season, 20.0 points more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Timberwolves Team Leaders

• Anthony Edwards: 25.9 PTS, 5.1 AST, 1.3 STL, 46.1 FG%, 35.7 3PT% (190-for-532)
• Rudy Gobert: 14.0 PTS, 12.9 REB, 2.1 BLK, 66.1 FG%
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 21.8 PTS, 8.3 REB, 50.4 FG%, 41.6 3PT% (136-for-327)
• Naz Reid: 13.5 PTS, 47.7 FG%, 41.4 3PT% (169-for-408)

Nuggets Team Leaders

• Nikola Jokic: 26.4 PTS, 12.4 REB, 9.0 AST, 1.4 STL, 58.3 FG%, 35.9 3PT% (83-for-231)
• Michael Porter Jr.: 16.7 PTS, 7.0 REB, 48.4 FG%, 39.7 3PT% (220-for-554)
• Jamal Murray: 21.2 PTS, 6.5 AST, 48.1 FG%, 42.5 3PT% (145-for-341)
• Aaron Gordon: 13.9 PTS, 55.6 FG%, 29.0 3PT% (40-for-138)