Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Western Conference Semifinals Game 3 Preview for May 10

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets are playing in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 coming up.

The Timberwolves take the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Nuggets. The matchup features a point total of 204.

The Timberwolves beat the Nuggets 106-80 in their last outing on Monday. Anthony Edwards totaled a team-high 27 points to lead the team to the victory. No line was set for the matchup, and the teams combined to go over the point total. Their last time out, the Nuggets saw Aaron Gordon score a team-high 20 points in a 106-80 loss to the Timberwolves on Monday. No line was set for the matchup, and the teams scored 186 total points to top the -point over/under.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have 40 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• This season, Minnesota has an against the spread record of 20-20-1 in its 41 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals.
• The Timberwolves put up 113.0 points per game (only 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets give up).
• When scoring more than 109.6 points, Minnesota has a 35-17-1 record against the spread and a 43-10 record overall.
• The Nuggets are 38-41-3 against the spread this season.
• So far this year, Denver has been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more three times and are 3-0 ATS in those games.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under 42.7% of the time this season (35 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets put up 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves cede (106.5).
• In games it scores more than 106.5 points, Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread (and 53-10 overall).

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Last 10 Games

• The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• In their past 10 games, the Timberwolves have gone over the total six times.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 10.4 points more than the 204 total given for this matchup.
• During their last 10 games, the Timberwolves' per-game scoring average is 0.7 points higher than their season-long average.
• The Nuggets have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• In their past 10 contests, the Nuggets have gone over the total four times.
• Denver has averaged a total of 217.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 13.4 greater than this game's total of 204.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 6.5 fewer points per game than their season-long scoring average, 114.9 PPG.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Over/Under Trends

• The Timberwolves and their opponent have combined to outscore Friday's total of 204 points 69 times this season.
• This season, 73 of the Nuggets games have finished with a combined score higher than 204 points.
• Minnesota averages 113.0 points per game compared to Denver's 114.9, amounting to 23.9 points over this contest's over/under of 204.
• The 216.1 points per game these two teams concede combined this season are 12.1 more than the 204-point total in this contest.
• This season, the average total for Timberwolves games is 219.5 points, 15.5 more than the over/under of 204 points for this contest.
• A difference of 20.5 points separates the average total points bet in Nuggets games (224.5 points) and this game's over/under (204 points).

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Timberwolves Team Leaders

• Anthony Edwards: 25.9 PTS, 5.1 AST, 1.3 STL, 46.1 FG%, 35.7 3PT% (190-for-532)
• Rudy Gobert: 14.0 PTS, 12.9 REB, 2.1 BLK, 66.1 FG%
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 21.8 PTS, 8.3 REB, 50.4 FG%, 41.6 3PT% (136-for-327)
• Naz Reid: 13.5 PTS, 47.7 FG%, 41.4 3PT% (169-for-408)

Nuggets Team Leaders

• Nikola Jokic: 26.4 PTS, 12.4 REB, 9.0 AST, 1.4 STL, 58.3 FG%, 35.9 3PT% (83-for-231)
• Michael Porter Jr.: 16.7 PTS, 7.0 REB, 48.4 FG%, 39.7 3PT% (220-for-554)
• Jamal Murray: 21.2 PTS, 6.5 AST, 48.1 FG%, 42.5 3PT% (145-for-341)
• Aaron Gordon: 13.9 PTS, 55.6 FG%, 29.0 3PT% (40-for-138)