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Axios Boston

Boston sees largest homicide drop of any major U.S. city

By Steph Solis,

23 days ago

Data: AH Datalytics; Chart: Axios Visuals

Boston saw the largest drop in homicides of any major city in the first three months of 2024, according to an analysis by AH Datalytics.

  • But it's not the only major city where homicides have declined.

The big picture: This year's violent crime patterns could shed light on whether Boston's drop in homicides is a product of the city's violence prevention measures or part of a national trend.

State of play: Boston saw the largest drop in homicides of any major city in AH Datalytics' analysis, an Axios review found.

Catch up fast: Boston has only had two homicides so far this year, according to recently released police data.

  • Nilton Fernandes , 24, was killed in a New Year's Day shooting in Dorchester.
  • Aanya Vinay , 25, was killed in a murder-suicide at the Moxy hotel in February.

Yes, but: Several people have been injured in shootings, including a man who was shot in the chest in Dorchester this weekend, per NBC Boston .

Zoom out: Philadelphia, New York, Washington, D.C. and Miami have also seen major drops in homicides as of early April.

  • Homicides are also down in New Haven, Connecticut, and Providence, Rhode Island.

​​ Between the lines: Polls show crime continues to be a top concern ahead of the 2024 election, where Republicans regularly edge Democrats, but dropping homicide rates could take the steam out of this crucial GOP advantage , writes Axios' Russell Contreras .

So far, Boston is poised to continue the trend from last year, when the city had a record-low homicide rate.

  • The city recorded 37 murders last year, though two of those homicides actually happened in 2022, per the Suffolk District Attorney's office .
  • The real test, however, will be whether violent crime will peak again in the summer.

Mayor Michelle Wu , who pledged to curb homicides and shootings, attributes the initial 2024 data to community policing and her administration's steps to prevent violence, per the Boston Globe .

Editor's note: The chart headline has been corrected to note that it is a selection of major cities, not the most populous cities.

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