<div>Black Water. Red Ink.Black water. Aguas negras, the Mexican term for sewage.Red ink. A deficit.Both lie ahead. No clairvoyance needed. The lines are about to cross—for both.Tijuana is projected to grow significantly over the next fifteen years. That growth could eat up new sewage treatment capacity and leave us with more overflows.Tijuana’s new growth plan calls for a denser city. Right now, its sewer agency, CESPT, is approving connections for luxury condo towers while Imperial Beach lives with a sewage crisis.The next wave of sewage is taking shape now, one condo tower at a time. There is no City strategy to address Tijuana’s rapid development trends.Meanwhile, the city’s budget points to slow revenue growth and rising obligations. The trend points to red ink.Imperial Beach is mostly residential and largely built out. A disproportionate share of its land is federally owned and tax exempt. On the land that is taxable, the City receives just a fraction of each property tax dollar collected. That leaves the City with a thin revenue base.Its major economic development tool, the redevelopment agency, is gone.There appear to be no major fiscal sustainability initiatives on the horizon that promise near-term relief. Red Ink.Futures foretold need not be set in stone. But they must first be told.VOL. 40, NO. 46 - Nov. 12, 2026</div>

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Black water. Aguas negras, the Mexican term for sewage. Both lie ahead. No clairvoyance needed. The lines are about to cross—for both. Tijuana is projected to grow significantly over the next fifteen years. That growth could eat up new sewage treatment capacity and leave us with more overflows. Tijuana’s...

Imperial Beach’s Future Foretold In Four Words

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Black water. Aguas negras, the Mexican term for sewage. Both lie ahead. No clairvoyance needed. The lines are about to cross—for both. Tijuana is projected

Imperial Beach’s Future Foretold In Four Words

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