The Golden State Warriors (25-24) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (24-25) Monday in a Western Conference battle. Tip-off from Paycom Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Golden State enters on a 2-game win streak, recently topping Toronto 129-117 Friday as 4-point home favorites. G Stephen Curry led the Warriors in scoring in each of last 2 games, finishing with 35 (and 11 assists) against the Raptors and 34 points in Wednesday’s 122-120 home win vs. Memphis — the Warriors came up a hook short as 2.5-point favorites.
Oklahoma City has alternated wins and losses in its last 5 games, going 3-2 and 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS). The Thunder are coming off a 112-100 home win vs. Cleveland Friday as 1-point favorites. Oklahoma City has exceeded many people’s expectations this season, largely due to its defense and the scoring from G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (30.9 points per game).
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Warriors at Thunder odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Thunder +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread: Warriors -4.5 (-105) | Thunder +4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 241.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Warriors at Thunder key injuries
Warriors
- F Andre Iguodala (hip) out
Thunder
- G Luguentz Dort (hamstring) out
- F Aleksej Pokusevski (tibia) out
- F Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 112, Thunder 109
Moneyline
PASS.
This is a very winnable game for the Warriors (-170) despite how horrendous they’ve been on the road this season (6-18). They’ve dominated this matchup as of late, winning 6 in a row.
Despite their sloppiness with the ball — they rank 2nd to last in the league with 16.7 turnovers per game — they’re always a tough matchup. However, I can’t advise anyone to pay this much juice on a road team. I could see including Golden State (-170) in a parlay.
Against the spread
LEAN THUNDER +4.5 (-115).
While recent series history favors the Warriors, who are 7-2-1 ATS against the Thunder in the last 10 meetings, the best bet here is still to back Oklahoma City to cover. The Thunder are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games at home vs. teams with road winning percentages of less than .400, according to Covers.com. They are also 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. teams with winning records.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 241.5 (-108).
For both teams involved and for recent matchups between these 2, the Under is clearly the safer bet. The Under is 4-1 in Golden State’s last 5 games vs. teams with a losing record, per Covers.com.
For Oklahoma City the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring 100+ points in the previous game.
When it comes to the head-to-head series, the Under is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Oklahoma City.
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