The No. 13 Iowa State Cyclones (15-4) battle the Missouri Tigers (15-5) Saturday. Tip from Mizzou Arena is set for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
The Big 12/SEC Challenge is this weekend, and this will be among the premier games in the contest.
Iowa State is coming off a win over No.5 Kansas State Tuesday, beating it 80-76 yet failing to cover as a 5.5-point home favorite. The Cyclones have failed to cover 2 straight games but are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) over their last 8 and 12-7 ATS on the season. Iowa State ranks 9th in the nation in opponents’ points per game (59.5).
The Tigers beat Ole Miss 89-77 Tuesday, covering as 2-point road favorites. Missouri has covered 2 of its last 3 games and although it is just 2-4 ATS over its last 6 it has rewarded bettors this season with an 11-9 ATS record. It is 11-2 straight up at home. The Tigers rank 10th in points per game (83.4).
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Iowa State at Missouri odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Iowa State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Missouri +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -1.5 (-110) | Missouri +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Iowa State at Missouri picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa State 75, Missouri 72
Moneyline
BET IOWA STATE (-125).
The Tigers have been a solid team at home this season, posting an 11-2 straight-up record. Their two losses were 85-64 against current-No. 2 Alabama (Jan. 21) and 95-67 against current-No. 9 Kansas (Dec. 10). Missouri hasn’t played another top-25 team at home with Arkansas just dropping from the ranks before they met.
Iowa State is 2-3 straight up on in straight road games, but losses to Oklahoma State and Kansas both came by 2 points. The Cyclones have road wins over TCU and Oklahoma in early January and have a far more impressive road resume than Missouri has at home.
Given their tenacious defense coupled with an offense that has scored 78 or more points in 3 of their last 5 games, play the red-hot CYCLONES (-125) to win outright.
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Against the spread
PASS.
Let’s avoid the close spread and just play Iowa State to win outright. It should be a close battle.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 141.5 (-115).
The Cyclones’ offense has erupted lately, topping the projected total in 4 of their last 6 games. Iowa State has allowed at least 65 points in 2 of its last 3 games. Missouri plays at an ultra-fast pace and is efficient in its offense. It ranks 24th in the nation in field goal percentage (48.1%).
The Tigers are 12-8 O/U this season and 5-4 O/U in their last 9. They have both scored and allowed at least 75 points in 2 of their last 3 games. Considering recent trends, back the OVER 141.5 (-115).
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