Raiders RB Josh Jacobs Chris Unger/Getty Images

Examining a 2023 NFL Free-Agent Running Back Market That Could Be the Best in Years

Kristopher Knox

If your favorite NFL team is in the market for a new running back, the 2023 offseason could have the answer.

Quarterbacks like Tom Brady, Lamar Jackson and Daniel Jones will dominate the headlines between now and the start of free agency on March 15. However, the running back market could be historically good.

The last time a Pro Bowl running back signed with a new team in the offseason happened after the 2015 season, when Chris Ivory left the New York Jets for the Jacksonville Jaguars. This year, four Pro Bowlers could be looking for new teams on the open market.

That's only part of the equation, though. From Pro Bowl talents like Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders to fantastic role specialists like Jerick McKinnon and Jamaal Williams, backs of every flavor are set to be available this spring.

And that's long before teams dive into a talented draft pool that features the likes of Texas running back Bijan Robinson, the fourth overall prospect in the Bleacher Report Scouting Department's latest rankings.

No matter what role your favorite team is looking to fill, it will have options. Here, we'll break down the 25 most notable impending unrestricted free-agent running backs, take a deeper dive into their projected 2023 roles and examine a few logical landing spots based on factors like team need, past production, market value and cap space.

Pro Bowl Talent

Giants RB Saquon Barkley David Berding/Getty Images

Saquon Barkley

Josh Jacobs

Tony Pollard

Miles Sanders

This year's free-agent running back pool is headlined by four 2022 Pro Bowlers: Saquon Barkley of the New York Giants, Tony Pollard of the Dallas Cowboys, Miles Sanders of the Philadelphia Eagles Sanders and Josh Jacobs of the Las Vegas Raiders.

Jacobs led the NFL with 1,653 rushing yards and earned his second Pro Bowl nod. Barkley also earned his second Pro Bowl selection, returning from three injury-hampered seasons to tally 1,650 scrimmage yards and 10 touchdowns.

While the Giants will likely prioritize re-signing quarterback Daniel Jones in free agency, they're also hoping to re-sign Barkley.

"We would like to have Saquon back, if it works out," general manager Joe Schoen said, per SNY's Alex Smith.

Sanders (1,269 rushing yards, 11 TDs) has helped lead Philadelphia to the NFC title game, while Pollard racked up 1,378 scrimmage yards and 12 touchdowns while splitting time with Ezekiel Elliott. However, Pollard suffered a broken fibula during the Cowboys' divisional-round loss to the San Francisco 49ers and underwent surgery Tuesday.

While some potential suitors might be concerned about Pollard's health, these four should draw heavy interest if they become available. However, none of them are likely to come cheaply. Barkley, for example, has a projected market value of $12.3 million annually.

Besides the Eagles, Cowboys, Giants and Raiders, a few teams stand out as potential suitors for any of these Pro Bowl backs.

The Chicago Bears could be in the market for a running back, as starter David Montgomery is set to become a free agent. They're looking to build around young quarterback Justin Fields and are projected to lead the league with $118.2 million in cap space.

The Arizona Cardinals ranked 22nd in rushing yards this past season and might not have quarterback Kyler Murray (torn ACL) to open the 2023 campaign. With $15.7 million in projected cap space, Arizona could target a top-end back to help carry its offense.

The Cincinnati Bengals could be looking for a backfield upgrade, too. While the Bengals have a serviceable starter in Joe Mixon, he averaged only 3.9 yards per carry in the regular season. Adding a bell cow like Jacobs to an offense that also features quarterback Joe Burrow and wideouts Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins would terrify the rest of the AFC.

The Bengals are set to have $49.4 million in cap space and could save another $10 million by releasing Mixon with a post-June 1 designation.

Solid Starter

Bears RB David Montgomery Michael Reaves/Getty Images

D'Onta Foreman

Damien Harris

Raheem Mostert

David Montgomery

Devin Singletary

Jamaal Williams

Montgomery is one of a few starting-caliber free-agent running backs who fall a bit below the Pro Bowl tier. He tallied 1,117 scrimmage yards and six touchdowns in a Bears offense that lacked a quality offensive line and field-stretching receiving threats. Devin Singletary was a similarly serviceable starter for the Buffalo Bills, finishing with 1,099 scrimmage yards and six scores.

The Bears and the Bills also have dual-threat quarterbacks in Justin Fields and Josh Allen, respectively. In more traditional offenses, Montgomery and Singletary could have even more impressive stats.

Raheem Mostert averaged 4.9 yards per carry while leading the Miami Dolphins' committee backfield and finishing with 1,093 scrimmage yards and five touchdowns. D'Onta Foreman exploded after the Carolina Panthers traded former starter Christian McCaffrey, finishing with 914 rushing yards and a 4.5 yards-per-carry average despite making only nine starts.

The Detroit Lions' Jamaal Williams split starts with D'Andre Swift but still topped 1,000 rushing yards and led the league with 17 rushing touchdowns. If he doesn't return to Detroit, some team will likely take a chance on him as a full-time starter.

Injuries limited New England Patriots running back Damien Harris this past season, but he reached 1,061 scrimmage yards and 15 touchdowns as a starter in 2021.

The price point for this tier is substantially lower than that of the Pro Bowlers. Montgomery leads the group with a projected market value of $7.2 million annually.

Expect players like Montgomery to serve as a backup plan for teams that miss out on a Pro Bowl-caliber talent. Additionally, teams like the Bills and the Dolphins might take a chance on backs other than the ones they could lose.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers should also be in the market for a legitimate starter if they can create the cap space. Tampa is projected to be $55.4 million over the cap, but it desperately needs to improve its ground game.

The Buccaneers averaged a league-low 3.4 yards per carry this season. They could save $5 million off the cap by releasing Leonard Fournette with a post-June 1 designation.

The Los Angeles Rams might also look at running backs if they believe they can return to title contention in 2023. Cam Akers (4.2 yards per carry) was good down the stretch, topping 100 rushing yards in each of his final three games. However, he struggled early, and the Rams averaged only 4.0 yards per carry as a team.

With a projected $11 million cap deficit, Los Angeles likely won't enter the Pro Bowl running back sweepstakes.

Valuable Complement

Browns RB D'Ernest Johnson Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Damien Harris

D'Ernest Johnson

Alexander Mattison

Latavius Murray

Rashaad Penny

Jeff Wilson Jr.

Teams who need rushing help but aren't looking to pay a starter's salary will have options as well. Minnesota Vikings back Alexander Mattison is one of the more intriguing ones.

Mattison has averaged 4.1 yards per carry in his career and has flashed as a spot starter in Minnesota. He topped 90 rushing yards in three of his four starts in 2021. However, he's largely been stuck behind Dalvin Cook and possesses a limited resume.

Cleveland Browns back D'Ernest Johnson has been in a similar situation. He barely saw the field behind Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt this past season. However, in his two starts in 2021, he compiled 245 rushing yards, 80 receiving yards and a touchdown.

Latavius Murray started seven games with the Denver Broncos this past season and rushed for 760 yards (4.4 yards per carry) and six touchdowns. The speedy Jeff Wilson Jr. ran for 860 yards and averaged 4.9 yards per carry with the Dolphins and San Francisco 49ers.

Rashaad Penny of the Seattle Seahawks is an intriguing free-agent option, too. His career has been derailed by injuries—a broken fibula in 2022 being his latest—but he had a tremendous finish to the 2021 season. In his final five games that year, he racked up 671 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

New England Patriots running back Damien Harris largely spelled Rhamondre Stevenson this season, but he reached 1,061 scrimmage yards and 15 touchdowns as a starter in 2021.

These bargain free agents could provide a lot of value to an incomplete backfield. Wilson tops the group with a projected market value of only $2.9 million annually.

Teams that should be interested in this group—and who haven't already been listed—could include the Houston Texans and the Los Angeles Chargers.

Rookie tailback Damien Pierce made an immediate impact in Houston (939 rushing yards, 4.3 YPC), but the Texans averaged only 3.7 yards per rush as a team. They're projected to have $41.7 million in cap space and can splurge on the position if they choose.

The Chargers ($19.4 million over the cap) are in a much less favorable cap situation, but they could use another quality ball-carrier.

Austin Ekeler is one of the best dual-threat backs in the league, and he finished with 1,637 scrimmage yards and a league-high 18 touchdowns. However, Los Angeles has little depth behind him and averaged just 3.8 yards per carry as a team this season.

Adding a player like Wilson or Johnson to the backfield could give the Chargers a significant offensive boost next season.

Receiving Back

Chiefs RB Jerick McKinnon Chris Unger/Getty Images

Giovani Bernard

Rex Burkhead

Kareem Hunt

Jerick McKinnon

Samaje Perine

While the five backs listed here are also valuable complements, their value lies in a specialized role.

Jerick McKinnon of the Kansas City Chiefs leads the group of receiving specialists headed to the free-agent market. The Chiefs seldom used him in 2021 until the playoffs, but he racked up 315 scrimmage yards in three postseason games and continued be a valuable receiving back this year. He finished the 2022 regular season with 56 catches, 512 yards and nine receiving touchdowns.

Rex Burkhead has long been a quality receiving back, recently with the Texans and with the New England Patriots and Cincinnati Bengals before that. He has 192 career receptions and logged 37 catches this season.

Giovani Bernard didn't see the field often this year with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but he averaged 40 receptions and 332 receiving yards over his first nine seasons with Cincinnati and Tampa Bay. Hunt's production also fell off with the Browns this year, but he still caught 35 passes and has averaged 35 catches per year in his career.

Hunt, who led the league with 1,327 rushing yards in 2017, could get a few looks as a potential starter. However, he missed nine games in 2021 with a calf injury and averaged a modest 3.8 yards per carry this season. He should be valued as primarily a pass-catcher.

Samaje Perine is listed here, even though he was solid (164 rushing yards) filling in for Mixon in Cincinnati for two starts. He finished the regular season with 38 catches, 287 receiving yards and four touchdowns while providing a passer rating of 113.8 when targeted.

Any team interested in adding a receiving back should be eyeing this group. One we haven't mentioned yet is the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts already have a star tailback in Jonathan Taylor, but they traded receiving back Nyheim Hines to Buffalo during the season. They have other needs—including finding a reliable quarterback—but with $20.6 million in cap space, they could potentially take a flier on a player like Burkhead or Perine.

Perine has a projected market value of $3 million annually. Hunt is on the high side with a projected market value of $7 million annually.

If Tom Brady doesn't retire or return to the Buccaneers—and Tampa players believe he won't be back, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport—another team could come into play for this group.

Brady has long favored having quality receivers in his backfield. Should he land with the Las Vegas Raiders or the Tennessee Titans, a receiving back will likely become a priority.

Quality Backup

Giants RB Matt Breida Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

Matt Breida

Myles Gaskin

Dontrell Hilliard

Mark Ingram

Rounding out today's list are the high-end backups, players who are best suited for limited workloads but who can occasionally be counted on to start or finish a game.

For example, Matt Breida made one start for the New York Giants this season and tallied 338 scrimmage yards and a touchdown as Saquon Barkley's backup. Dontrell Hilliard filled a similar role behind Derrick Henry with the Tennessee Titans. He made one start and finished with 322 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

Myles Gaskin saw limited reps in Miami this year but made 10 starts and tallied 846 scrimmage yards in 2021. His time as a starter may be over, but he should still find a home in 2023.

Mark Ingram was once a Pro Bowl starter, but the 33-year-old is best suited for a backup job at this point in his career. He made three starts in 2022 with the New Orleans Saints and rushed for 233 yards while splitting time with Alvin Kamara.

Unless Ingram decides to call it a career, he should find work next season. He and the other five players listed here project as top options for teams seeking a dedicated backup.

These 25 represent only the top free-agent running backs. Other former starters like Kenyan Drake, Marlon Mack and restricted free agent James Robinson will be available, too.

In all, more than 40 veteran running backs are expected to be available as unrestricted, restricted or exclusive-rights free agents. Virtually every team will be looking to fill one backfield role or another this spring, but that number will dwindle considerably over the first few weeks of free agency.

*Cap and market information via Spotrac. Advanced statistics from Pro Football Reference.

   

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