Miami Heat at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Skyler Carlin

Sportsbook Wire

The Miami Heat (11-12) face the Memphis Grizzlies (14-9) Monday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Heat vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat took down the Boston Celtics 120-116 in overtime Friday to cover as 7-point underdogs. Miami has won 4 of its last 5 games following a 4-game losing skid from Nov. 16-21.

The Grizzlies defeated the Detroit Pistons 122-112 to cover as 6.5-point favorites Sunday. Memphis has also won 4 of its last 5 games ahead of the team's 2nd leg of a back-to-back Monday.

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Heat at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML) : Heat +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS) : Heat +1.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U) : 225.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Heat at Grizzlies key injuries

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (knee) questionable
G Tyler Herro (ankle) probable
G Duncan Robinson (ankle) probable
F Max Strus (shoulder) probable
G Gabe Vincent (knee) questionable

Grizzlies

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Heat 112

Moneyline

The GRIZZLIES (-125) are an enticing wager in this home game. The Grizzlies are 8-2 at home this season compared to the Heat's 3-8 road record.

Against the spread

Considering that we only need Memphis to win by at least a 2-points to cover the spread, GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-115) is where I'm leaning in this game. While G Desmond Bane remains out, the Grizzlies are mostly healthy entering Monday's game and it's hard to go against G Ja Morant at home.

The Heat are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Miami is also 1-4 ATS in its last 5 meetings against Memphis.

Over/Under

OVER 225.5 (-105) is where I'm going in this game as the Heat should have most of their starters available. Even though Butler is questionable to play, Miami is expected to at least have Herro, Robinson, and Strus available on Monday.

The Over has hit in 7 of the last 9 meetings between the Heat and the Grizzlies.

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