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Fantasy Football Daily Notes: Aaron Rodgers, Josh Jacobs trending towards playing in Week 13

ESPN
ESPN
 2022-11-30

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Read ESPN's fantasy football Daily Notes every weekday to stay caught up on the news you need to know and get a head start on the fantasy football content coming today and tomorrow to ESPN.com and the ESPN Fantasy App.

The news: Packers QB Aaron Rodgers expects to play Sunday against the Bears.

What it means in fantasy: Rodgers confirmed this on "The Pat McAfee Show" on Tuesday. His initial concern was that he might have a punctured lung. Rodgers had X-rays at Lincoln Financial Field following the Packers' Sunday night game against the Eagles. X-rays revealed he did not have fractured ribs, and it was reported he would have additional tests in Green Bay on Monday. Since Rodgers did not specify what the scans showed, it is assumed they did not reveal further damage. He is a low-end QB1 this week against the Bears. Rodgers has 19 fantasy points in each of the Packers' past two games.


The news: Tom Pelissero of the NFL Network reported that Raiders RB Josh Jacobs won't practice much this week and "hopes" to play against the Chargers on Sunday.

What it means in fantasy: Fantasy managers will closely monitor Jacobs' calf injury situation after his epic performance against the Seahawks in Week 12. He finished that game with 48.3 fantasy points, the second-most fantasy points this season behind Joe Mixon 's tally in Week 9. Jacobs' matchup this week is against a Chargers defense that allows the fourth-most fantasy points per game, so If active, Jacobs can be viewed as a high-end RB1. If he's ruled out, fantasy managers should pick up Zamir White or Ameer Abdullah as contingencies.< >


The news: Giants TE Daniel Bellinger is "trending in the right direction" for Week 13 against the Commanders according to head coach Brian Daboll.

What it means in fantasy: Bellinger suffered a fractured orbital bone in his left eye against the Jaguars back in Week 7. It was a unique injury, recovery, and rehab process for a football player. Bellinger returned to a full-pads practice on Tuesday with a visor attached to his helmet for extra protection. Bellinger would be a streaming option for fantasy managers In deeper formats if he were active.


Fantasy reads

The read: (E+) NFL Top 25 Under 25: Ranking best players 24 years old or younger

Fantasy Takeaways: ESPN's Matt Bowen, Matt Miller and Jordan Reid did a fantastic job with this column, and one thing I took away was the number of wide receivers that were on the list and how that affects keeper and dynasty fantasy managers.

Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase ranked second and third, respectively. Since 2020, Jefferson has accumulated 4,248 receiving yards, averaging 19.3 fantasy points per game. While Chase has missed games this season, he has averaged 18.6 fantasy points with the Bengals during his career.

Jaylen Waddle and DK Metcalf were ranked 13th and 14th, respectively. Metcalf has exceeded fantasy managers' expectations this season with Geno Smith at the helm. He has scored 13 or more fantasy points in seven games. Meanwhile, Waddle is enjoying a great season with the Dolphins. Since Week 5, he hasn't had fewer than 66 receiving yards in any game, averaging 17.1 fantasy points. As the Cowboys' No. 1 receiver, CeeDee Lamb ranks No. 19. He's scored 10 or more fantasy points in nine games this season including five with 17 or more fantasy points.

Stockpiling as many wide receivers as you can is a good best practice for fantasy managers in keeper or dynasty formats. There have been 204 wide receivers who scored 258 or more fantasy points between 2000 and 2021. Around 71% of wide receivers who met or exceeded that number were between 25 and 31 years old. This provides managers with some guidance on what receivers to prioritize in trades. In evaluating year-to-year stats for wide receivers, targets are the most predictable stats. Targets lead to receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns, which in turn translate into fantasy points. A receiver should be on your radar if he is or will be in a position to see an increase in targets in the near future.


Today on ESPN.com/Fantasy and in the ESPN Fantasy App

Mike Clay's Shadow Report: wide receiver vs defensive back matchups analysis

Seth Walder's Next Gen Stats Advantage: Mismatches to exploit

DFS Cheat sheets for DraftKings and FanDuel

• Rankings for Individual Defensive Player leagues

• "Fantasy Focus" podcast (10 a.m. ET)

Thursday:

Field Yate's Fantasy Field Pass for Week 13

Mike Clay's TNF Playbook: Bills vs Patriots

Tristan H. Cockcroft's positional Matchup Map

Matt Bowen's fantasy film room

Al Zeidenfeld's DFS Best Buys for Week 13

• "Fantasy Focus" podcast (10 a.m. ET)

In Case You Missed It:

Week 13 fantasy football rankings at every position (PPR and NPPR)

Matt Bowen's streaming pickups: deeper picks for deeper leagues and emergency need

Eric Karabell's Flex and Superflex rankings for Week 13

• NFL Nation's Fantasy Fallout: beat reporters on Zay Jones, Mike Evans and others

• Eric Karabell's trade index and rest-of-season rankings for Week 13 and beyond

• "Fantasy Focus" podcast: Field Yates, Daniel Dopp and Stephania Bell recap a close MNF, talk some star players who could return this week and debate which borderline fantasy starters you can trust for the rest of the season. Plus, Eric Moody joins the show to discuss the players you have to add for Week 13. Listen | Watch

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