Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATED: March 9, 2023
2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Film Editing
CATEGORY COMMENTARY:
If you follow the recent statistics for best editing and how it correlates to the best sound category, only two of this year’s nominees are likely to win — Warner Bros’ “Elvis” (Jonathan Redmond, Matt Villa) and Paramount Pictures’ “Top Gun: Maverick” (Eddie Hamilton).
However, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” has Critics Choice, BAFTA and ACE Eddie. The last movie to lose after winning those three was “Gladiator” (2001).
I feel the American vote will pop through in a few places, and I think it’ll show itself with “Top Gun: Maverick” getting love.
Will Win: “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures) – Eddie Hamilton
Could Win: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24) – Paul Rogers
Should Win: “Tár” (Focus Features) – Monika Willi
Should have been here: “Three Minutes: A Lengthening” (Neon/Super) – Katharina Wartena
See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.
See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.
Countdown to the Oscars with Variety here.
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
2023 Academy Awards Predictions
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.
2022 category winner: "Dune" (Warner Bros.) - Joe Walker
About Variety Awards Circuit:
Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.