Stars align for Joe Burrow to be a good bet against the Dolphins: Michael Niziolek

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow looks to throw a pass during the first half of an NFL football game New York Jets, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 25: Joe Flacco #19 of the New York Jets controls the ball against the Cincinnati Bengals during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 25, 2022 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 25: Head coach Zac Taylor of the Cincinnati Bengals talks with side judge Jonah Monroe #120 after a play against the New York Jets during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 25, 2022 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 25: Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals reacts after throwing a touchdown pass against the New York Jets to Evan McPherson #2 (not pictured) during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 25, 2022 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco (19) warms up before an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Vonn Bell, left, tackles New York Jets' Garrett Wilson (17) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets' D.J. Reed (4) tackles Cincinnati Bengals' Joe Mixon (28) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Tyler Boyd (83) breaks a tackle by New York Jets' C.J. Mosley (57) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (85) gestures after making a catch as New York Jets linebacker Quincy Williams (56) and C.J. Mosley, right, get up during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Joe Mixon, bottom right, dives past New York Jets' Solomon Thomas, left, and C.J. Mosley (57) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins reacts after getting hit hard on a play during the first half of an NFL football game against the New York Jets, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco (19) looks to pass during the first half of an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd (83) is tackled by New York Jets' Michael Carter II in the end zone for a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

New York Jets head coach Robert Saleh reacts during the first half of an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Tee Higgins (85) is tackled by New York Jets' Lamarcus Joyner during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets center Connor McGovern (60) checks on Garrett Wilson after Wilson was hurt during the first half of an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

New York Jets' Greg Zuerlein (6) kicks a field goal during the first half of an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals linebacker Logan Wilson (55) intercepts a pass to New York Jets' Braxton Berrios (10) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

The Cincinnati Bengals celebrate a Logan Wilson (55) interception during the first half of an NFL football game against the New York Jets Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Logan Wilson (55) runs past New York Jets' Max Mitchell (61) after making an interception during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco (19) is rushed by Cincinnati Bengals' Cam Sample (96) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets running back Breece Hall (20) is tackled by Cincinnati Bengals' Akeem Davis-Gaither (59) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco (19) is sacked by Cincinnati Bengals' Cam Sample (96) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Mike Hilton (21) tackles New York Jets' Breece Hall (20) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets running back Michael Carter (32) spins away from Cincinnati Bengals' Eli Apple (20) and BJ Hill (92) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco, center, is sacked by Cincinnati Bengals' Trey Hendrickson, right, and BJ Hill, left, during the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) celebrates with teammate Tee Higgins (85) after scoring a touchdown during the second half of an NFL football game against the New York Jets Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Ja'Marr Chase (1) celebrates with Tee Higgins (85) after Chase caught a pass for a touchdown during the second half of an NFL football game against the New York Jets Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd (83) is tackled by New York Jets' Michael Carter II in the end zone for a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson reacts during the second half of an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals linebacker Logan Wilson (55) intercepts a pass to New York Jets' Braxton Berrios (10) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (85) gestures after making a catch as New York Jets linebacker Quincy Williams (56) and C.J. Mosley, right, get up during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

The Cincinnati Bengals celebrate a Logan Wilson (55) interception during the first half of an NFL football game against the New York Jets Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco, left, shakes hands with Cincinnati Bengals' Joe Burrow after an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. The Bengals won 27-12. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco (19) is rushed by Cincinnati Bengals' Cam Sample (96) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets running back Breece Hall (20) is tackled by Cincinnati Bengals' Akeem Davis-Gaither (59) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

New York Jets quarterback Joe Flacco (19) is sacked by Cincinnati Bengals' Cam Sample (96) during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) AP

Cincinnati Bengals' Jessie Bates III (30) celebrates after intercepting a pass to end an NFL football game against the New York Jets, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) AP

By

CINCINNATI — Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow threw for 348 yards and two touchdowns the last time he played on a Thursday night.

That game came in Week 4 at Paycor Stadium (then-Paul Brown) as well.

Burrow orchestrated a fourth quarter comeback with a pair of 70-plus yard drives to lead the Bengals to a 24-21 win over the Jaguars.

Can Burrow expect a similar stat line when they host the Dolphins this week in prime time? DraftKings set the over/under at 275.5 passing yards for Burrow, and I’d strongly consider the over.

Miami’s defense is coming off a short week after playing 90 snaps against Buffalo. The unit is allowing 297.7 yards (ranked No. 31 out of 32 NFL teams) and opposing quarterbacks are completing 68.9% of their pass attempts while averaging 7.3 yards per play.

Burrow also has a knack for coming through in big moments, and this has all the makings of a big-time game with the Dolphins coming to Cincinnati as one of the only two remaining unbeaten teams in the league.

He also has shared history with Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa — the two played a pair of games in college — and that should make for a playoff-type atmosphere.

Bonus bet

Burrow has gone 101 pass attempts since throwing an interception and went a second straight game without a turnover despite some risky throws against the Jets.

It wouldn’t be all that surprising to see Burrow make a mistake or two against a Dolphins secondary featuring Xavien Howard, who is one of the best corners in the league and a protégé of current Bengals defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo.

Howard has 15 interceptions the last two seasons and he helped Miami tie for the league lead in interceptions in 2020.

DraftKings has the over/under on interceptions for Burrow at .5 for Thursday night with a chance to double your money on the over at plus-100.

That’s a pretty good play.

SEASON RECORD: 2-1

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