Oh baby, you bettor believe it: Betting takeaways from NFL Week 3
Week 3 of the NFL season was very similar to each of the first two weeks of the season. The under didn't hit nearly as high as it did in the first two weeks of the season, but it did hit more than the over for the third consecutive week.
Six moneyline underdogs won outright in Week 2, and with the Monday night game yet to be played, six underdogs won outright again on Sunday. And six teams entered Week 3 undefeated, but that number shrunk on Sunday.
Here are some key takeaways from the betting action for Week 3 of the NFL season:
Unders hit more than overs for third straight week
The under didn't have a success rate of 60% like it did in each of the first two weeks of the season, but the under did hit more than the over for the third straight week. The under hit in eight of the 15 games (53%) played so far this week, and has hit just under 62% (29/47) of the time overall.
Six entered, two survived
Six teams entered week three undefeated, but only two teams — Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles — improved to 3-0. The New York Giants could join Miami and Philadelphia at 3-0 if they beat the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football.
Home dogs, let me hear you!
A season-high five home underdogs — Denver Broncos, Carolina Panthers, Miami Dolphins, Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans — won outright on Sunday. Home underdogs are now 12-8-1 through the first three weeks of the season.
Las Vegas stands alone, unfortunately
The Las Vegas Raiders are the only team yet to win a game after losing to the Tennessee Titans, 24-22, on Sunday. The Texans are technically winless, but they haven't lost all their games either. Houston recorded a tie against Indianapolis in Week 1, leaving the Raiders as the only 0-3 team in the NFL. Las Vegas is also the only team 0-3 against the spread this season.
Broncos' late rally wins bettor nearly $3 million
One bettor made just under $3 million on a six-leg parlay this weekend. Denver's 11-10 fourth-quarter comeback win over San Francisco completed the bettor's $65,000.00 bet. The wager included two college games and four NFL games.
SGP of the Week
One bettor won nearly $8,500.00 on a $100.00 Same-Game Parlay (SGP) bet on Sunday. The bettor correctly took Baltimore -2.5 vs. the Patriots, Lamar Jackson to score a touchdown, throw for at least 200 yards and rush for at least 40 yards, and for Mark Andrews to score two touchdowns and record at least 50 receiving yards.
Heading into Week 4
Five teams are still undefeated against the spread — Miami, Detroit, Atlanta, Houston and New York Giants — and the under has hit in each of the first three weeks of the season. Even though New Orleans is considered the home team, next week's Vikings vs. Saints in London is the first of five games to be played outside of the U.S. Of the 16 games next week, only one over/under — Buffalo vs. Baltimore, 53.5 — is set at 50 or higher. And with the under hitting nearly 62% of the time, expect the total points numbers to continue to shrink across the NFL.
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