Special Report

COVID-19: How Cases in the Staunton, VA Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

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The U.S. reported over 665,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending June 26, bringing the total count to more than 85.6 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 1,005,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise, albeit at a slowing rate. In the past week, there were an average of 26.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — a decrease from the week prior, when there were an average of 32.0 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of COVID-19 grew at an average rate of 29.3 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 14.3% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Staunton, VA metro area consists of Augusta County, the city of Staunton, and the city of Waynesboro. As of June 26, there were 26,505.3 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Staunton residents, roughly in line with the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 26,532.2 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The incidence of coronavirus cases depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Staunton metro area, Waynesboro city has the highest incidence of COVID-19 cases. As of June 26, there were 28,143.6 cases per 100,000 residents in Waynesboro city, the most of any county in Staunton, yet not too far from the county with the lowest incidence. In Staunton city, there were 24,512.9 cases per 100,000 residents — the least of any county in Staunton.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Staunton metro area, unemployment peaked at 9.9% in April 2020. As of November 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 3.0%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Staunton, VA metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Virginia where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of June 26 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of June 26 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of June 26 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of June 26 per 100,000 residents
44420 Staunton, VA 121,651 32,244 26,505.3 396 325.5
49020 Winchester, VA-WV 137,621 34,677 25,197.5 406 295.0
31340 Lynchburg, VA 261,652 63,996 24,458.4 877 335.2
40220 Roanoke, VA 313,009 72,447 23,145.3 1,076 343.8
40060 Richmond, VA 1,269,530 287,865 22,674.9 3,373 265.7
13980 Blacksburg-Christiansburg, VA 166,785 37,691 22,598.6 396 237.4
25500 Harrisonburg, VA 133,557 29,031 21,736.8 394 295.0
47260 Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 1,761,729 372,598 21,149.6 3,940 223.6
16820 Charlottesville, VA 215,445 43,363 20,127.2 386 179.2

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