The parade of storm systems stretched across the Pacific Ocean is looking like the number of floats in a dying rural festival parade. With less storms in the pipeline, rainfall could be pretty skimpy over the next week or so.
Here is the satellite loop of the current storm system situation over the north Pacific Ocean.
We do see a few storm systems, but they look rather small. The storm systems are also going to take a path in the next week that won’t fill them up with Gulf of Mexico moisture. So the weather-makers that are set to move through Michigan will be carrying slim amounts of moisture.
We don’t have an entirely dry forecast, but the rainfall amounts could be light for late June and early July. There could be sections in Michigan that don’t have any rain at all in the next 10 days.
Let’s look at the few total rainfall forecasts for the next 10 days. They will each look a little different because they come from different models. One of the forecasts actually comes from human meteorologists looking at all of the models. That human-made forecast comes from the Weather Prediction Center, which is the National Weather Service’s rain prediction office.
The first forecast is that meteorologist-produced forecast. It only goes out seven days, but gives you the feel that most of Lower Michigan doesn’t have much rain on the way in the next week.
The European Model is a good model. This forecast goes out to July 6. It’s an even drier forecast for southern Michigan, with some parts of southwest Lower not getting any rain.
The model forecast below is the best U.S. model, the GFS. It shows the same theme of dry in the south, but with a little more rain. It also brings a thunderstorm or two across the Saginaw area and the Thumb. It’s a plausible idea, but probably shows the heaviest amount of rain that area could have.
Keep your garden watered. If you are going on vacation in the next week, you better line up a reliable friend to garden sit. It will need water.
It’s not a totally dry period coming. Unfortunately for crops and gardens, the rain is not going to be widespread enough for them to thrive in an important growing period.
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