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The New York Yankees had gone 16 innings without a hit against the Houston Astros, but everything turned around in the last few innings on Sunday. The Yanks tied the game at 3-3 in the bottom of the 8th inning before Aaron Judge hit a walk-off three-run home run. They’ll roll out starter Jordan Montgomery in Monday’s series opener, while Paul Blackburn will start for the Athletics. Let’s dive into our experts’ best bets for Monday’s contest with odds provided by PointBet Sportsbook.
Betting Market | Best bet for Monday, 6/27 |
---|---|
Run line prediction | Yankees -1.5 (-145) |
Total over/under prediction | Under 8.5 (-110) |
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Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees odds at PointsBet Sportsbook
The New York Yankees are heavy favorites in Monday’s matchup, and they have -310 money line odds, while their run line (-1.5) is -145 at PointsBet Sportsbook. The Oakland Athletics are +245 money line underdogs, and their run line (+1.5) has +125 odds. A $145 bet on the Yanks’ run line returns $100 of profit if New York wins by two runs or more, while a $100 wager profits $125 if the Athletics can lose by one run or win the ball game.
The total on Monday night is 8.5, and both sides of the total (over/under) carry -110 odds at PointsBet.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees run line prediction: Yankees -1.5 (-145)
Monday’s matchup will feature two squads on opposite sides of the standings, as the Oakland Athletics (25-49) take on the New York Yankees (53-20). The talent gap is substantial across the entire rosters, and although Oakland’s starter has been strong this season, Paul Blackburn could struggle against this talented Yankees lineup.
Blackburn has a 2.97 ERA and 6-3 record, but Oakland has lost four of his last five starts. The Athletics haven’t produced enough run support for their ace, and they average just 3.18 runs per game (29th in MLB). Things will not get easier as they’re facing Jordan Montgomery and a New York bullpen with the second-lowest ERA in the league at 2.84. Montgomery is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in 2022, and unlike Blackburn, he’s received plenty of run support in recent starts. The Yankees scored 25 runs in Montgomery’s last three starts, and although he may not receive the same amount on Monday, four or five runs should be more than enough.
The Athletics are tied for last in the MLB in OPS, and their bullpen carries a 4.49 ERA (25th in MLB). New York is putting up 5.03 runs per game (second in MLB), and they should be able to jump all over Oakland’s relievers once Blackburn leaves the contest. The Yankees picked up a huge comeback win over the Astros on Sunday and should be able to keep their momentum going on Monday night.
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees total over/under prediction: Under 8.5 (-110)
When the Yankees play at home, bettors normally would expect a high-scoring game, but both starting pitchers should perform well on Monday. Additionally, Oakland carries the league’s worst team OPS, and only the Detroit Tigers have scored fewer runs per contest. The Athletics have been shut out more than any other team in baseball this season, and it doesn’t get any easier going up against New York’s elite bullpen.
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When betting on the under in a Yankees game, New York always has the ability to cover the over on their own, but Oakland starter Paul Blackburn can cause them issues. Eight of his last nine starts have finished with under 8.5 runs, and five of Oakland’s last six games overall when playing on the road against the Yankees have also finished under the total. Both trends should continue on Monday, and we predict the total to finish under 8.5 runs.
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