Avoiding Missteps: Create a Plan for Exiting Your Cannabis Business, Says CPA

Welcome to our Cannabis Opinion section. Remember opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect that of Redheaded Blackbelt nor have we checked the letters for accuracy. 

Closeup of cannabis

I stepped on a rattlesnake once. It was 30 years ago in Piercy and remains a vivid memory. My body still reacts if the thought even crosses my mind. I’ve never covered that much distance so quickly before or since. There is something built into our DNA that recognizes, in a split second, what has just happened. I think they call this a misstep.

All missteps are not created equal. Some, like the snake, provide immediate feedback. Others, like hypothesis testing or research and development might involve a series of missteps, in a controlled environment, which in the aggregate advance a product or process. Other missteps, such as choosing the wrong business partner, might result in business failure or substantial financial losses far down the road. Missteps are the result of decisions and decisions have consequences.

In business and life, we make our plans. We work towards goals. But life tends to happen. Man plans and God laughs. Sometimes a misstep, series of missteps, or confluence of events and circumstances beyond our control force our hand. Maybe time and age catch up and it’s time to sell. We could lose a business or life partner, the absence of whom irreparably alters our ability to move forward. If we have not planned, it is at this point that our missteps become apparent or, often, demand from us that we finally deal with what we have known and ignored for years, or decades, would eventually come back to bite us. We face an exit.

I have been through a couple of business exits of my own and helped many clients over the years transition their business to new owners. The most successful transitions I’ve seen are the result of deliberate succession planning. The same is true for an estate. As a rule of thumb, I’d say that a good succession or exit plan for a business is about a 5-year process. A bad succession plan looks something like an internet date gone horribly wrong, with similar results. Perceived value, by one or both parties, may simply not align and your improvised exit strategy may have you crawling out a bathroom window.

At the heart of a business exit is the concept and calculation of value. It has always been there because it is central to the purpose of business itself. In an efficient market, like the publicly traded exchanges, value is constantly reflected in the share price of a stock. Granted this is simplified and open for debate but let’s say this is generally true. Most cannabusinesses are closely held. The market for them is less efficient and therefore value isn’t a readily available metric. Value then must be calculated.

Business valuation is a specialized field. It is not my area of expertise but I have developed a working knowledge of the process over the years as I have dealt with many valuations in estate administration, divorce, arm’s length sales, and other scenarios which require valuation. It is both art and science. It requires financial analysis and judgement by the Valuation Analyst.

A business valuation uses historical financial results as the basis for analysis. Then, depending on the method employed, an analyst may apply an industry specific factor or multiple to a target number such as EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) or Seller’s Discretionary Earnings to arrive at an ultimate value.

When it comes time to exit and make a value determination it is important that good records are available. There will likely be bankers, attorneys, CPA’s, one or more generations of family owners, unrelated party shareholders or members, brokers, insurance agents and others involved. This is where the prior implementation of proper cannabis specific accounting and historical tax strategy employed will meet a litmus test. Specifically, it is here that short-term focused efforts to beat 280e or manipulate earnings, coupled with poor accounting records, will potentially create a discount to the value of a subject business.

Conversely, I believe that brand development, rock solid accounting, permanent audit trails and consistent GAAP reporting and cost accounting will create a premium. An unofficial estimate of this premium from one of the premier subject matter experts in the field is 10-15%. It is hard to say what a discount might look like for bad accounting records but I would venture to guess that it could be twice the amount of the premium attached for sound books. Bad records, tax code non-compliance and the inevitable accompanying liabilities will narrow the field of potential buyers and you the seller will have to negotiate from a position of weakness. After all of your years of hard work do you want your exit to be an exclamation point or a lingering regret?

Loren Harwood, CEO/CPA
Orcal Coastal CPA, LLC
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Legallettuce
Guest
1 year ago

Honestly it’s a rough read as I think of my beloved. Necessary though I understand so thank you Loren.

orcalcoastalcpa
Member
orcalcoastalcpa
1 year ago
Reply to  Legallettuce

I get it. These are tough conversations to have sometimes. Hope it gives you some ideas. Have a good one.

Dude
Guest
Dude
1 year ago

Lol, the time to sell your weed biz to speculators was 5 years ago. There are not enough suckers in the community to buy a failing biz that won’t ever turn a profit. Bless up it’s going to be rough out there. Mls has approx 30% more listings than 3 months ago, interest rates 7% on conventional, who is even loaning hard money and at what rate? A real estate bubble bust combined with weed bust in our community is going really shake things up.

thatguyinarcata
Guest
thatguyinarcata
1 year ago
Reply to  Dude

I asked a realtor about hard money about 8 months ago, and he told me he had people that would do it at 17% with 3-5 year notes.

I can’t see many people going that route to finance a weed farm anymore. Although the properties are getting cheap enough that you might actually be able to pay it off with traditional crop sales again.

Chris's electricity?
Guest
Chris's electricity?
1 year ago
Reply to  Dude

I couldn’t be happier seeing the smug grin on these people’s faces get wiped away when they realize that they’re not brilliant businessmen, that it was the fact that they were just doing illegal stuff that got them all the money. The game is up, weed is moribund . Farmer Bob in the central valley gonna grow better weed for a tenth of the price. That their few acres of scrub land is worthless. And nobody is dumb enough to buy their failed weed biz. They’re already trying to find other ways to make money without getting a regular job, doing weed airbnb, renting their Costa Rica cabin, selling pyramid scheme face creams on Facebook, going back to school none of which will reap them the kind of money they were making when they were blowing up their garage. Do not feel sorry for these people, they chose to do this .

Lost Croat OutburstD
Member
Lost Croat Outburst
1 year ago

I remain surprised and bemused by the hate and contempt expressed by so many against people who tried to transition from illegal to legal and maybe lost money. The gloating and derision just seems based in joy that someone’s dream has failed, or maybe not. Envy and jealousy in extremis. Again we see references to things like “renting their Costa Rica cabin” which simply reveals your sodden three pounds of neural network writhing and moaning because something good happened to somebody for a little while, anyway.

I should feel sorry for you but your mental state is its own personal reward. Wallow in it. Serves you right.

Farce
Guest
Farce
1 year ago

I’ll explain it One Last Time. Pretty much the only people who were able to afford permits were the large growers who blew up mega-grows during the historic 5 year drought that immediately preceded the corporate “legalization”. The abatement program w/ satellite imaging was adopted. Then John Ford announced that he would draw concentric circles around each new permit application and abate every grow nearby that fell into these concentric circles. Did that cause a pause…out of concern for welfare of neighbors? NO. IT DID NOT. So I say…Fuck ’em. As do many others who paid attention to what happened here over the last 40 years. Sure- a few are decent people. But mostly not, not at all. Profiteering, greedy parasites who came here for the money, grabbed all they could damn the fish or the critters or…their own mom n pop neighbors- who were here years before them! Why would anybody like them? I am glad to see them fail and fail badly…even as they break the terms of their permits, lie about Track and Trace and do not pay the taxes they promised to pay as they paraded about as the “Good Players” who “Came into the Light”. It’s ludicrous to not dislike them and make endless jokes about their arrogance and stupidity. They deserve zero sympathy from us. They colluded with the government in the corporate takeover of our business which we built through sweat and courage. Permit pansies. Sell-outs. Collaborators….and Idiots.

Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago
Reply to  Farce

Is this really the last time you’ll explain your version of how things happened and how it all went wrong? Or is this a online version of a skipping record that someone needs to turn off?

Perhaps you can start providing some comments that contribute in a positive manner and not just repeat the same diatribe.

wow
Guest
wow
1 year ago
Reply to  Farce

I’ll explain it One Last Time.” Dont make me call you a liar in three days when your windbagging your same tired old ramblings. For god sake get out of the cabin Kazinski.

Corporate Serfdom
Guest
Corporate Serfdom
1 year ago

You think our political class isn’t getting filthy rich by keeping your eyes focused on the local economy actors. People who understand economics 101 recognize that industry collapse affects everyone except those who work in the public sector.

Your pensions are gonna be hit hard, and no one else will care about your insulated works view.

Dry streams
Guest
Dry streams
1 year ago

Farce I feel that. It was extremely rude of former comrades to finance the abatements on their neighbors, and then as a final whack in the face fail to utilize their precious “legal” channels and instead rudely flood their endless MF boxes out the back door destroying the original market for those that were confined to it (with our lame 6 plant grows.) They basically ruined for everyone.

Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago
Reply to  Dude

All HMLs for cannabis projects that I know do not include any value for the farm or permits. It’s strictly a loan for the land and house (if there is one). Even then it’s mostly 60% max LTV and 10-15%+ IO with a 1-2 yr balloon.

If the property doesn’t have value without the farm then it’s not loanable. Especially at the staggering 1mil plus common asking prices.

Last edited 1 year ago
thatguyinarcata
Guest
thatguyinarcata
1 year ago
Reply to  Hayforker

I feel like the prices have plummeted. Anymore, a place with a 7 digit asking is set up for some serious production.

When I was browsing the listings the other day there were plenty of options under 500k. But even at that price there doesn’t appear to be much movement.

Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago

Yes I’ve seen that too in Humboldt, but those spots are not well designed or efficient. The value is pretty much all in the land and not the permits. Another for 7 figures listed in trinity two weeks ago. I doubt it sells like the rest. If some people were honest about the NOI they would declare a negative cap rate.

thatguyinarcata
Guest
thatguyinarcata
1 year ago
Reply to  Hayforker

It’s going to be a bit of a golden window (I believe) for resourceful and creative land managers in the triangle. I’m seeing some places where there’s obvious desperation and 40-160 acres is being offered for just a couple hundred k. Obviously, the caprociousness of the abatement program looms large over parcels like that, but there’s suddenly lots of quality land (and decent timber sometimes, as well) being offered by desperate owners that don’t appear to have ever appreciated the inherent value of the land beyond its potential cannabis output.

Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago

This letter makes sense in a normal industry, but I don’t know a single triangle cannabis business that has been sold using these methods. A five year succession plan is a non starter. No one is trying to calculate the EBITDA.

Why? Because no one has reliable records. Almost all of the buyers didn’t have a clue how to operate the farms and couldn’t identify the true values. The buyers just want to look cool and have a cali pot farm. Some to all of the products were sold without receipts or METRC. Employees were miscategorized as IC or just paid under the table. Tax filings inaccurate or non existent. I could go on and on.

The time to sell a farm ended in the fall of 2020 or maybe spring of 2021. By summer 2021 it was basically over if the buyer had even a slight clue. The letter gives a path to selling that never really existed during the time sales where occurring. I wish more legacy farmers structured their business to take advantage of the ideas presented in the letter, but that is just not reality.

orcalcoastalcpa
Member
orcalcoastalcpa
1 year ago
Reply to  Hayforker

Good points Hayforker. We would like to see Emerald Triangle farms and other verticals be competitive nationally. So I try to introduce best practices in these letters. I consulted with the AICPA subject matter expert, a Valuation Analyst, State and Local Tax Expert and another CPA before I sent this in to Kym.

There is no way to address all of the challenges you face in a single topic or really do a topic justice from a technical standpoint without putting people to sleep. Looking forward it will be important for those with the stomach and capitalization to remain in the legal market to give some thought to these issues.

Happy Father’s Day btw. I remember you saying you had kids. Enjoy!

Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago

Definitely keep writing your pieces as I appreciate the conversations and maybe someone will take something from them to better their future. Education is always a key component of success and we just never saw enough of it in the local cannabis scene. Hopefully there are still a few people with enough ambition and dreams to build their business into something they can see a liquidity event from.

One of my favorite books on this subject is Built to Sell by John Warrillow. If a person can get a subscription based income stream (say regular delivery of cannabis products to consumers, perhaps via a NSF retail license) that will go a long way to boosting profits and exit valuation.

dawni
Guest
dawni
1 year ago
Reply to  Hayforker

Amen. A friend that lives in the hills of Southern Humboldt told me a story of the neighboring Bulgarians who just up and left their farm, leaving all the plants in the ground and an enormaous amount of trash.
Where they used to live in a ‘neighborhood’ they are mostly the only ones left having been there over 35 – 40 years building their country homestead as a place to live out their lives, not a mega farm developed to reap the land of as much as possible without regard to the environment.
IMHO all permitted marijuana grows should have been required to grow as much square footage of food as they were all allowed to of pot. Then there might be something to fall back as a livihood so their lives did not implode completely.

Last edited 1 year ago
Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago
Reply to  dawni

Yes, the OG homesteaders will have witnessed the entire cannabis scene lifecycle. Perhaps the end will be better for all as the environmentally destructive profiteers move on. I worry about the large number of small humble farmers who never prepared for a different future which has come.

Not sure if requiring farms to grow equal amounts of food and cannabis would have been the right choice as the water resources, etc would be stretched even thinner. The Internet and modern tech should have balanced the field some to allow people a means to make an income outside simply cultivating. But at last most people aren’t driven enough to seek out new ideas and would just use the internet to watch more Netflix.

Xingu
Guest
Xingu
1 year ago

Way too many words and mostly off topic.

orcalcoastalcpa
Member
orcalcoastalcpa
1 year ago
Reply to  Xingu

Thanks for the feedback. I’ll keep it in mind. Have a good one.

Hayforker
Guest
Hayforker
1 year ago

If I may, the intro was a bit long and wordy. I wish there was a way to drop more detailed info into the articles without putting the average reader to sleep. But I’m weird so it probably best to KISS.

Buzz
Guest
Buzz
1 year ago

I think it’s impactful writing in both style AND substance.

The intro establishes an element of credibility around the external and psychological factors likely impacting your target audience.

There’s a lot of ‘nuggets’ to be gleaned from this piece for those that take the time to absorb the ideas presented in here.

Hope to see more articles by you and and other professionals with coherent perspectives and a rational tone, cheers!

Corporate Serfdom
Guest
Corporate Serfdom
1 year ago

Is failing forward even possible for working class hands?

orcalcoastalcpa
Member
orcalcoastalcpa
1 year ago

Probably not in a Steinbeck novel:)

Corporate Serfdom
Guest
Corporate Serfdom
1 year ago

Exactly. Everyone and everything has been grifted to extract the most important facet of our lives. Our ability to live without ships, trucks, and trains.

The mom and pop business, has been buried under the full weight of regulatory capture, and a population that didn’t learn to grow /raise it’s own dinner.

local Family farms are the solution , and it would be wise to approach responsible forward thinking that harnesses built to sell as a local venture. The government goon squads that has waged war on enforcing code violations and revenue extraction needs to be looked at in terms of class warfare , nothing more.

Difficult to compete with slave labor producing goods that literally are designed to fail. Our ability to restructure our priorities have always taken a back seat to regulation and the corporate model. There’s a great interview with Russell Brand and Mr Perreti, on the private public partnership https://youtu.be/C5WxdqmAue0

Our children are being socialized instead of educated to be self guided and self determined and self reliant.

A community that RECOGNIZEs it’s future will be GONE without a hard look at the Walmart model as enemy #1, and the need to reduce the sheer ignorance of growing food elsewhere relying on a truckatarian model.

LoCal is the future , whether you want to think about it or not.

CPA”s don’t work for a majority of the population, since most don’t have 500 in the bank.

Your clientele is vanishing like our purchasing power

Good luck with that.

Last edited 1 year ago
Dan Kay
Guest
Dan Kay
1 year ago

Hold on to your rural property and do everything you can to turn it into an oasis that you can live mostly self sufficiently at ad infinitum. There are several prominent thinkers (Peter Zeihan in particular offers a chilling hypothesis) who are signaling that the global supply chain is imploding and that the Global economy might be falling off a precipice. Get set up with solar while you can and get your plots ready to produce food. Learn the skills you need to possible fabricate your own tools or find a neighbor who can. I know some exceptional people in southern Humboldt who are well on their way to this ideal. I for one don’t want to be trapped in a city or suburb when fuel crises shut off power grids and food shortages empty shelves.