Special Report

COVID-19: How Cases in the Jacksonville, FL Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

Evan Comen

Published: June 17, 2022 12:15 am

The U.S. reported over 741,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending June 14, bringing the total count to more than 84.5 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 1,001,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 32.7 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 32.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of COVID-19 grew at an average rate of 37.5 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 19.9% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Jacksonville, FL metro area consists of Duval County, St. Johns County, Clay County, and two other counties. As of June 14, there were 28,006.2 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Jacksonville residents, roughly in line with the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 26,197.7 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The incidence of coronavirus cases depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Jacksonville metro area, Baker County has the highest incidence of COVID-19 cases. As of June 14, there were 31,377.8 cases per 100,000 residents in Baker County, the most of any county in Jacksonville, and far greater than the county with the lowest incidence. In Clay County, there were 26,392.5 cases per 100,000 residents — the least of any county in Jacksonville.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Jacksonville metro area, unemployment peaked at 11.4% in April 2020. As of November 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 3.8%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Jacksonville, FL metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Florida where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).