Special Report

These Are the Counties In the Tuscaloosa, AL Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest

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After adding over 710,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 84.1 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 990,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 33.2 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 30.0 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of coronavirus grew at an average rate of 39.4 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 25.3% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Tuscaloosa, AL, metro area consists of Tuscaloosa County, Pickens County, Hale County, and one other county. In the past week, there were an average of 29.4 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Tuscaloosa residents, in line with the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 14.6 daily new cases per 100,000 Tuscaloosa residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Tuscaloosa metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Pickens County. There were an average of 11.7 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Pickens County during the past week, the least of the four counties in Tuscaloosa with available data.

Case growth in the Tuscaloosa metro area varies at the county level. In Hale County, for example, there were an average of 33.3 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any county in Tuscaloosa and more than the case growth rate in Pickens County.

While Pickens County has the slowest case growth in the Tuscaloosa area, it does not have the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of June 9, there were a total of 26,226.3 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Pickens County, the second fewest of the four counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 25,908.9 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Pickens County, unemployment peaked at 14.1% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.6%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending June 9. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Alabama where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending June 9 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending June 2 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Pickens County 20,243 11.7 3.1 26,226.3 508.8
2 Greene County 8,324 19.6 5.4 22,849.6 588.7
3 Tuscaloosa County 207,305 31.3 15.3 27,632.7 380.6
4 Hale County 14,809 33.3 25.6 32,568.0 715.8

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