Special Report
These Are the Counties In the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest
Published:
After adding over 429,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 82.9 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 990,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.
New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 28.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 31.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.
While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.
In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of coronavirus grew at an average rate of 35.0 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 30.0% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.
The Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV, metro area consists of Fairfax County, Montgomery County, Prince George’s County, and 22 other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 42.7 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Washington residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 44.6 daily new cases per 100,000 Washington residents.
The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Madison County, Virginia. There were an average of 15.2 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Madison County during the past week, the least of the 25 counties in Washington with available data.
Case growth in the Washington metro area varies widely at the county level. In Falls Church city, for example, there were an average of 75.5 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any county in Washington and far more than the case growth rate in Madison County.
While Madison County has the slowest case growth in the Washington area, it does not have the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of June 1, there were a total of 18,845.9 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Madison County, the eighth fewest of the 25 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 25,552.7 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.
The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Madison County, unemployment peaked at 7.1% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 2.9%.
To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending June 1. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.
Click here to see all current COVID-19 data for Washington D.C.
Rank in MSA | County | Population | New daily cases per 100,000, week ending June 1 | New daily cases per 100,000, week ending May 25 | Cumulative cases per 100,000 | Cumulative deaths per 100,000 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Madison County | 13,170 | 15.2 | 23.2 | 18,845.9 | 318.9 |
2 | Fairfax city | 23,531 | 18.2 | 14.3 | 8,966.9 | 182.7 |
3 | Culpeper County | 51,101 | 18.9 | 18.2 | 22,754.9 | 293.5 |
4 | Fauquier County | 69,728 | 19.0 | 24.2 | 19,316.5 | 208.0 |
5 | Clarke County | 14,423 | 20.8 | 25.8 | 18,886.5 | 298.1 |
6 | Rappahannock County | 7,378 | 22.7 | 12.7 | 14,502.6 | 135.5 |
7 | Calvert County | 91,511 | 23.1 | 21.2 | 12,821.4 | 160.6 |
8 | Manassas Park city | 16,986 | 26.1 | 27.3 | 22,907.1 | 159.0 |
9 | Warren County | 39,492 | 28.4 | 24.0 | 22,333.6 | 397.5 |
10 | Fredericksburg city | 28,622 | 30.4 | 41.1 | 19,673.7 | 146.7 |
11 | Prince George’s County | 908,670 | 30.9 | 30.5 | 19,722.1 | 238.7 |
12 | Spotsylvania County | 132,833 | 32.7 | 30.9 | 21,270.3 | 228.1 |
13 | Frederick County | 251,422 | 33.0 | 31.0 | 19,091.8 | 208.8 |
14 | Manassas city | 41,174 | 34.4 | 29.8 | 23,002.4 | 172.4 |
15 | Charles County | 159,428 | 35.7 | 40.0 | 18,674.3 | 222.0 |
16 | Prince William County | 461,423 | 37.3 | 37.8 | 21,749.2 | 162.1 |
17 | Jefferson County | 56,506 | 38.4 | 33.2 | 26,188.4 | 235.4 |
18 | Stafford County | 146,773 | 42.6 | 42.9 | 21,901.2 | 121.3 |
19 | District of Columbia | 692,683 | 42.8 | 50.4 | 21,549.7 | 193.7 |
20 | Fairfax County | 1,145,862 | 44.3 | 47.0 | 17,051.4 | 127.2 |
21 | Loudoun County | 395,134 | 50.5 | 49.7 | 18,896.9 | 97.2 |
22 | Montgomery County | 1,043,530 | 52.1 | 53.6 | 17,775.9 | 196.8 |
23 | Alexandria city | 157,613 | 63.8 | 70.1 | 21,637.8 | 119.9 |
24 | Arlington County | 233,464 | 74.1 | 79.5 | 20,840.0 | 138.4 |
25 | Falls Church city | 14,128 | 75.5 | 73.5 | 16,718.6 | 120.3 |
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