Special Report

These Are the Counties In the Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Fastest

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After adding over 429,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 82.9 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 990,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 28.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 31.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of coronavirus grew at an average rate of 35.0 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 30.0% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN, metro area consists of Jefferson County, Clark County, Bullitt County, and seven other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 36.3 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Louisville/Jefferson County residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 38.0 daily new cases per 100,000 Louisville/Jefferson County residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Louisville/Jefferson County metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Henry County. There were an average of 57.5 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Henry County during the past week, the most of the 10 counties in Louisville/Jefferson County with available data.

Case growth in the Louisville/Jefferson County metro area varies widely at the county level. In Washington County, for example, there were an average of 4.4 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Louisville/Jefferson County and far more than the case growth rate in Henry County.

Just as Henry County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Louisville/Jefferson County area, it also has the highest incidence of cases overall. As of June 1, there were a total of 31,569.4 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Henry County, the most of the 10 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 25,552.7 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Henry County, unemployment peaked at 16.1% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 5.2%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending June 1. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Kentucky where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending June 1 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending May 25 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Henry County 15,911 57.5 94.8 31,569.4 333.1
2 Jefferson County 767,419 42.7 44.4 30,437.5 309.0
3 Bullitt County 80,171 38.3 38.1 27,819.3 280.7
4 Spencer County 18,680 34.7 29.5 29,352.2 315.8
5 Oldham County 65,967 33.3 33.7 28,623.4 219.8
6 Shelby County 47,325 27.6 36.9 28,870.6 344.4
7 Clark County 116,507 21.1 22.1 27,380.3 339.9
8 Floyd County 77,320 19.4 18.3 25,069.8 391.9
9 Harrison County 39,940 15.9 14.3 27,463.7 350.5
10 Washington County 27,848 4.4 4.0 21,635.3 305.2

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