Special Report

COVID-19: How Cases in the Springfield, IL Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

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The U.S. reported over 736,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending May 24, bringing the total count to more than 82.4 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 994,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a faster rate. In the past week, there were an average of 30.7 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 24.6 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of COVID-19 grew at an average rate of 34.0 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 17.4% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Springfield, IL metro area consists of Sangamon County and Menard County. As of May 24, there were 29,165.2 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Springfield residents, 14.3% higher than the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 25,524.4 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The incidence of coronavirus cases depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Springfield metro area, Sangamon County has the highest incidence of COVID-19 cases. As of May 24, there were 29,165.8 cases per 100,000 residents in Sangamon County, the most of any county in Springfield, yet not too far from the county with the lowest incidence. In Menard County, there were 29,156.5 cases per 100,000 residents — the least of any county in Springfield.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Springfield metro area, unemployment peaked at 15.3% in April 2020. As of November 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 4.4%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Springfield, IL metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Illinois where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of May 24 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of May 24 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of May 24 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of May 24 per 100,000 residents
16980 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 9,508,605 2,264,992 23,820.4 24,434 257.0
28100 Kankakee, IL 110,637 29,590 26,745.1 366 330.8
37900 Peoria, IL 406,883 111,928 27,508.6 1,289 316.8
40420 Rockford, IL 338,356 94,408 27,902.0 944 279.0
44100 Springfield, IL 209,167 61,004 29,165.2 412 197.0
19500 Decatur, IL 105,528 31,335 29,693.5 345 326.9
14010 Bloomington, IL 172,578 52,978 30,698.0 295 170.9
16060 Carbondale-Marion, IL 137,573 43,483 31,607.2 411 298.8
16580 Champaign-Urbana, IL 226,323 72,434 32,004.7 311 137.4
19180 Danville, IL 77,563 28,410 36,628.3 296 381.6

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