STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — Staten Island is expected to see above-average temperatures this summer, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said in its Climate Prediction Center outlook.
The vast majority of New York is projected to experience hotter-than-normal temperatures between June and August, the agency’s forecast said, while there is a possibility the borough also receives precipitation that exceeds typical levels. Staten Island is located in an area that is “leaning” in its chances to see more rainfall than usual.
Areas just south of the Island, in New Jersey, are considered likely to have above-normal rainfall amounts.
The latest NOAA update partially reaffirms a forecast issued in late April, though the barrier of the area “likely” to receive higher-than-usual precipitation no longer includes Staten Island.
Nearly every state in the continental United States has a likely chance to have above-normal temperatures this summer, and a combination of lower precipitation amounts and stifling temperatures is slated to cause a drought throughout the West to persist.
The Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be above-normal this year, lead AccuWeather forecasters predicted, following a pair of historically turbulent years that wrought immense damage on the East Coast of the United States. Warmer water and a La Niña climate pattern will likely create an above-average hurricane season, AccuWeather said.
The National Hurricane Center is expected to release its Atlantic hurricane season outlook in the coming days.
That La Niña weather pattern is also partially to blame for some of the above-normal heat levels; however, temperatures are generally warmer than they used to be.
Greenhouse gas emissions have caused the earth to warm about 1.1 degrees Celsius compared to levels in the mid-19th century.
A series of reports by the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have found humans are the main driver of climate change, which will bring progressively devastating impacts — including increased extreme weather events and sea level rise. Currently-established efforts to combat global warming’s worst effects are currently inadequate, experts said.
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