Special Report

These Are the Counties In the Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest

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After adding over 425,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 80.7 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 980,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 16.7 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 13.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of coronavirus grew at an average rate of 19.0 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 19.7% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN, metro area consists of Jefferson County, Clark County, Bullitt County, and seven other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 14.8 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Louisville/Jefferson County residents, in line with the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 8.8 daily new cases per 100,000 Louisville/Jefferson County residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Louisville/Jefferson County metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Washington County, Indiana. There were an average of 1.3 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Washington County during the past week, the least of the 10 counties in Louisville/Jefferson County with available data.

Case growth in the Louisville/Jefferson County metro area varies widely at the county level. In Bullitt County, for example, there were an average of 22.6 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any county in Louisville/Jefferson County and far more than the case growth rate in Washington County.

Just as Washington County has the slowest case growth in the Louisville/Jefferson County area, it also has the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of May 5, there were a total of 21,545.5 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Washington County, the fewest of the 10 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 24,871.9 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Washington County, unemployment peaked at 18.9% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.0%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending May 5. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Kentucky where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending May 5 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending April 28 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Washington County 27,848 1.3 0.5 21,545.5 305.2
2 Harrison County 39,940 5.3 3.9 27,148.2 345.5
3 Shelby County 47,325 6.9 12.7 28,181.7 338.1
4 Oldham County 65,967 8.7 9.3 27,871.5 213.7
5 Spencer County 18,680 10.7 12.2 28,656.3 315.8
6 Floyd County 77,320 11.4 7.1 24,657.3 389.3
7 Clark County 116,507 12.8 8.1 26,878.2 339.9
8 Jefferson County 767,419 16.7 8.8 29,516.2 303.9
9 Henry County 15,911 18.0 3.6 30,117.5 314.2
10 Bullitt County 80,171 22.6 14.8 27,017.3 271.9

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