After adding over 425,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 80.7 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 980,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 16.7 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 13.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of coronavirus grew at an average rate of 19.0 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 19.7% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Richmond, VA, metro area consists of Henrico County, Chesterfield County, the city of Richmond, and 14 other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 18.0 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Richmond residents, in line with the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 14.9 daily new cases per 100,000 Richmond residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Richmond metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Prince George County. There were an average of 32.6 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Prince George County during the past week, the most of the 17 counties in Richmond with available data.

Case growth in the Richmond metro area varies at the county level. In Sussex County, for example, there were an average of 0.0 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Richmond and more than the case growth rate in Prince George County.

While Prince George County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Richmond area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of May 5, there were a total of 23,146.4 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Prince George County, the fourth most of the 17 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 24,871.9 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Prince George County, unemployment peaked at 9.9% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 5.2%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending May 5. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Virginia where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA	County	Population	New daily cases per 100,000, week ending May 5	New daily cases per 100,000, week ending April 28	Cumulative cases per 100,000	Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1	Prince George County	38,114	32.6	34.7	23,146.4	202.0
2	Colonial Heights city	17,428	29.4	15.7	28,201.7	556.6
3	Chesterfield County	343,551	23.3	16.8	21,619.8	220.9
4	King William County	16,688	20.3	14.7	22,447.3	263.7
5	Henrico County	327,535	18.5	15.4	20,151.4	284.9
6	Charles City County	7,014	17.7	6.1	16,709.4	384.9
7	Richmond city	226,622	15.8	16.9	20,081.5	225.5
8	Hanover County	105,537	15.2	12.3	20,897.9	269.1
9	Goochland County	22,865	15.2	19.3	17,826.4	231.8
10	Dinwiddie County	28,485	14.3	9.9	18,908.2	326.5
11	King and Queen County	7,042	12.5	8.4	16,089.2	170.4
12	Powhatan County	28,815	10.4	6.4	17,945.5	204.8
13	Amelia County	12,953	9.8	6.8	20,481.7	463.2
14	New Kent County	21,686	9.3	9.1	21,548.5	142.9
15	Hopewell city	22,456	1.3	4.1	27,253.3	529.9
16	Petersburg city	31,362	0.9	0.0	26,395.0	446.4
17	Sussex County	11,377	0.0	1.1	21,191.9	360.4

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