Special Report

These Are the Counties In the Jackson, TN Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Fastest

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After adding over 326,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 80.3 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 980,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 13.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 10.8 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of coronavirus grew at an average rate of 16.0 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 25.9% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Jackson, TN, metro area consists of Madison County, Gibson County, Chester County, and one other county. In the past week, there were an average of 5.3 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Jackson residents, less than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 8.0 daily new cases per 100,000 Jackson residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Jackson metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Crockett County. There were an average of 6.0 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Crockett County during the past week, the most of the four counties in Jackson with available data.

Case growth in the Jackson metro area is relatively uniform at the county level. In Gibson County, for example, there were an average of 4.9 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Jackson yet relatively in line with the case growth rate in Crockett County.

Just as Crockett County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Jackson area, it also has the highest incidence of cases overall. As of April 28, there were a total of 35,995.6 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Crockett County, the most of the four counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 24,741.0 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Crockett County, unemployment peaked at 10.6% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.7%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending April 28. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Tennessee where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending April 28 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending April 21 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Crockett County 14,399 6.0 0.0 35,995.6 590.3
2 Madison County 97,625 5.4 11.7 30,755.4 436.4
3 Chester County 17,190 5.0 1.7 34,019.8 558.5
4 Gibson County 49,228 4.9 5.2 35,376.2 526.1

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