Clemson at Duke odds, picks and prediction

Nathan Beighle
Sportsbook Wire

On Tuesday, the Clemson Tigers (11-8) will travel to Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils (15-3). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clemson at Duke odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Duke is coming into this game as one of the better covering teams in the nation with a 10-6-2 against the spread (ATS) record. As a home favorite, they're 7-4-2.

However, Duke is just 3-2 over their last 5 including a 2-point home loss to Miami (FL). They'll be strong favorites as Clemson comes to town. However, Clemson has also proven to cover at a high rate, 10-8-1 ATS.

They're entering this matchup coming off a 27-point home win over Pittsburgh, a much-needed victory as they were riding a three-game losing streak. Clemson is 0-0-1 against ranked opponents this season.

Clemson at Duke odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clemson +520 (bet $100 to win $520) | Duke -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clemson +11.5 (-108) | Duke -11.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Clemson at Duke odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 78, Clemson 70

Money line

PASS on the money line.

Given Duke recently lost at home, betting 8.5 units on a win to return one just isn't good value. Similarly, Clemson has lost 3 of their last 4, so I wouldn't bank on upset either.

Against the spread

BET on CLEMSON +11.5 (-108).

When you look at how Duke has fared during conference play, it doesn't show the same dominance. They're 4-3 ATS but are covering by -1.7 points on average.

As for Clemson, they're 3-5 ATS in ACC play. Clemson also lost by just 5 on the road to Miami (FL) whereas Miami went into Cameron Indoor and took down Duke.

Given that Clemson is forcing 11.9 turnovers per game in conference play (Duke averaged the conference's 4th-most at 12.4 per game) and ranks second in opponents' offensive rebounds, I'd give them a slight edge to cover. The backdoor cover is also a clear possibility with this size of margin.

Over/Under

"LEAN" to the OVER 145.5 (-110).

Clemson's defense just isn't quite there. They allow 73.2 points per game on the season. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils are topping 82 on the season, and keep that at 77.1 in conference play.

Duke is 9-9 O/U this season with Clemson at 11-8 O/U on the season. They're respectively 3-4 O/U and 4-4 O/U in conference play.

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