The Indiana Pacers will try to pull off their second upset in two nights when they take on Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors on Thursday at the Chase Center in San Francisco. On Wednesday the Pacers (16-29) rallied for an 111-104 victory over the Lakers behind a franchise-record 22 fourth quarter points from Caris LeVert. The win ended Indiana's four-game losing streak, but the team has still lost 10 of its last 12. Meanwhile the Warriors (32-12) are in a mini-slump of their own, having gone 3-5 in their last eight games. But they still own the second best record in the NBA. Myles Turner (foot) is out for Indiana, while Domantas Sabonis (ankle) is questionable.
Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as an 11.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Pacers odds, while the over-under is 217.5. Before finalizing any Pacers vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Pacers, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pacers vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Pacers spread: Golden State -11.5
- Warriors vs. Pacers over-under: 217.5 points
- Warriors vs. Pacers money line: Golden State -700, Indiana +475
- GS: The Warriors lead the NBA in defensive efficiency (102.2 points per 100 possessions).
- IND: The Pacers are 23-22 against the spread this season.
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State is formidable at the Chase Center. The Warriors own the NBA's best record at home (19-3) this season. One of the reasons has been improved defense. Already the best defensive team in the NBA (102.2 points allowed per 100 possessions), Golden State is even tougher at home, giving up just 98.3 points per 100 possessions.
In addition, Klay Thompson is coming off his best shooting night since returning from injury. On Tuesday against the Pistons, Thompson, who was sidelined more than 2½ years, scored a game-high 21 points and knocked down 3-of-8 3-pointers in a 102-86 victory. On Thursday he faces a Pacers team that allows opponents to make 35.9 percent of 3-pointers, which ranks a lowly 23rd in the league.
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana has already covered against Golden State once this season. The Pacers took it down to the wire in a 102-100 loss in December, and they stayed within the four-point spread. In total, Indiana is 14-8 against the spread this season as an underdog.
In addition, Indiana faces a Golden State team that will be without its defensive leader, Draymond Green. The veteran forward will be out at least another 10 days with a sore left calf. Green is a contender for Defensive Player of the Year, averaging 7.9 points, 7.6 rebounds, 7.4 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks.
How to make Pacers vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.