Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

USA Today Sportsbookwire

The Oklahoma City Thunder (14-29) visit the Alamo City Wednesday for an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the San Antonio Spurs (16-28) at AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

OKC has lost seven of its eight games but is 6-1-1 ATS in those contests, which includes a 104-102 loss at the Dallas Mavericks Monday as 11.5-point road underdogs.

The Thunder are 28-14-1 ATS and 18-25 O/U.

San Antonio is 2-8 straight-up (SU) and 3-7 ATS this month with the latest being a 121-107 blowout loss at home versus the Phoenix Suns as 4-point home underdogs. The Spurs are 23-21 ATS and 22-20-2 O/U.

The Thunder (+3.5) upset the Spurs 99-94 in their first meeting this season, Nov. 7. In fact, OKC is 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three meetings with San Antonio and the Under has cashed in four straight Thunder-Spurs games.

Thunder at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Thunder +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Spurs -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +6.5 (-102) | Spurs -6.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Spurs key injuries

Thunder

  • SG Kenrich Williams (health and safety protocols) out

Spurs

  • None.

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Thunder at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 114, Thunder 109

Money line

PASS with a heavy "lean" towards the Thunder (+225) because I like OKC plus the points and generally will sprinkle on an underdog's money line when betting them to cover the spread. But, this line is really fishy.

First of all, there's reverse line movement (RLM) in the ATS market as a vast majority of the action is on OKC's spread but San Antonio is getting pricier. It's a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Against the spread

"LEAN" to the THUNDER +6.5 (-102) because I cannot dissect the RLM and this is just too many points for the Spurs -6.5 (-122) to be laying.

San Antonio lost outright and ATS as 7.5-point home favorites Jan. 12 to the lowly Houston Rockets and is 1-2 ATS when laying 5-7 points.

On the other hand, OKC is 7-3-1 ATS when getting 5-7 points, 9-3 ATS on the road versus teams with a losing record and 4-0 in its last four as a road underdog.

It's only a "LEAN" to the THUNDER +6.5 (-102) because of the suspicious line movement and the Spurs are 6-3 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Over/Under

Slight "LEAN" to the OVER 220.5 (-110) for a small wager, if at all, because there's not a big discrepancy between my prediction and the projected score. Also, OKC is 17-24 O/U as an underdog and 9-12 O/U on the road.

But, the Spurs are 15-5-1 O/U with the highest total margin at plus-6.8 and the Thunder have gone Over the total in their past four games versus teams winning less than 40.0% of their games.

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