The Atlanta Falcons will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at TIAA Bank Field. Jacksonville is 2-8 overall and 2-4 at home, while the Falcons are 4-6 overall and 3-2 on the road. Both teams have lost three of their past four games. 

Atlanta is favored by two points in the latest Jaguars vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 45.5. Before entering any Falcons vs. Jaguars picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on an incredible 130-91 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Jags. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Jags vs. Falcons:

  • Jaguars vs. Falcons spread: Falcons -2
  • Jaguars vs. Falcons over-under: 45.5 points

What you need to know about the Jaguars

Last Sunday, Jacksonville lost to the San Francisco 49ers at home, 30-10. Jacksonville was down 27-3 at the end of the third quarter. The Jags allowed the 49ers to score on their first five possessions. Jacksonville finished with 200 yards on 44 plays, tied for the fifth-fewest yards in team history. 

Jacksonville did not score until 3:09 left in the game against San Francisco. The Jaguars have lost 14 straight games against NFC opponents, Shaquill Griffin (concussion) is out for Sunday's game. 

What you need to know about the Falcons

Meanwhile, Atlanta was blanked 25-0 by New England in Week 11. The Falcons have been outscored 68-3 in their last two games. Atlanta was shut out for the first time in six seasons. Matt Ryan was intercepted twice and was sacked four times. 

Deion Jones (shoulder) and Cordarrelle Patterson (ankle) are questionable for Sunday's game. Qadree Ollison (illness) is not expected to play. Foyesade Oluokun has 110 tackles, his second consecutive 100-plus tackle season.

How to make Falcons vs. Jaguars picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Jaguars vs. Falcons? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.