Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

USA Today Sportsbookwire

The Golden State Warriors (14-2) host the Toronto Raptors (8-9) Sunday at Chase Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Toronto snapped its three-game losing skid Friday by upsetting the Sacramento Kings 108-89 as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Raptors are 7-10 ATS and 9-8 O/U with the 14th-best net rating in the NBA (plus-0.7).

Golden State has won 10 of its past 11 games including three straight with the latest being a 105-102 road win over the Detroit Pistons without Steph Curry or Draymond Green in the starting 5. The Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS and 5-11 O/U with the best net rating in the Association.

Last season was a throwaway year for both organizations but they did split the season series 1-1 with the "home" team winning and covering each contest. There are quotes around the home because Toronto technically played in Tampa Bay, Florida last season to due the COVID pandemic.

Raptors at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Warriors -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +8.5 (-102) | Warriors -8.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Warriors key injuries

Raptors

SF OG Anunoby (hip) questionable

Warriors

SF Otto Porter (foot) questionable
SF Andre Iguodala (hip) out

Raptors at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 112, Raptors 107

Money line

PASS even though I "like" Toronto plus the points in this spot and typically I'll "sprinkle" on an underdog's money line when betting them to cover.

But, the Warriors are back and the Raptors look like a team competing for a play-in spot based on their results thus far.

Against the spread

BET the RAPTORS +8.5 (-102) for 1 unit because the Warriors can get a little careless with the ball at times and Toronto feasts off turnovers.

For instance, the Raptors average the most points off turnovers per game, whereas the Warriors rank 24th in offensive turnover rate and 22nd in points off of turnovers allowed per game.

Furthermore, this is a "Pros vs. Joe's" game in the betting market and the Warriors ticked down from 9-point favorites because of the pro-Raptors money.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the cash is on Toronto but roughly 60% of the action is on Golden State. Typically, in sports betting, it's wise to follow the money when it's flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

Lastly, backing the Raptors on the road has been profitable thus far.

Toronto is 6-3 ATS on the road with a plus-9.5 spread differential. Also, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Raptors have the seventh-best spread differential vs. teams in the top-10 of net efficiency.

Over/Under

PASS since these teams play at opposite paces and one likes to operate more in the mid-range (Toronto) while the other has the second-highest 3-point attempt rate in the NBA (Golden State).

The bottom line is I don't have a good feel for the Raptors-Warriors total, so I'll just stay away from this one.

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