The Dallas Mavericks (9-4) will be without their biggest star on Wednesday night when they visit the Phoenix Suns (10-3). Luka Doncic is expected to miss at least a few games with a knee injury he sustained on Monday in Dallas' win against Denver. Doncic played an inefficient 37 minutes in the victory but finished with 22 points on 9-of-23 shooting. Meanwhile, Phoenix enters Wednesday's contest riding a nine-game winning streak.
Phoenix is favored by 8.5-points in the latest Suns vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 212. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Suns picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Suns vs. Mavericks:
- Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Suns -8.5
- Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 212 points
What you need to know about the Mavericks
The Denver Nuggets typically have all the answers at home, but on Monday Dallas proved too difficult of a challenge in the Mavs' 111-101 win. Among those leading the charge for Dallas was power forward Kristaps Porzingis, who shot 5-for-8 from downtown and finished with a double-double on 29 points and 11 rebounds.
Porzingis has been especially good over his last two outings. Against San Antonio on November 12, he scored 32 points and had three blocks. The Mavericks have taken the sixth-most 3-point attempts this season, but hit just 33 percent of them. Dallas has made nearly 53 percent of its two-point attempts, which is ninth-best in the NBA, so it may look to attack the basket more on Wednesday. Another thing the Mavericks have been particularly good at is protecting the basketball; they average a league-low 12.4 turnovers per game.
What you need to know about the Suns
Phoenix shooting guard Devin Booker had another big night against Minnesota, finishing with 29 points and five assists. Booker's overall offensive production is down from last season, but he's hitting 36 percent of his 3-pointers, his highest rate since 2017-18. He's also taking more of them than he has over the previous two seasons, with 6.2 per game.
Phoenix ranks fourth in the league in steals per game, with 9.62, so they'll put Dallas' discipline in possession to the test. Deandre Ayton was back on the floor for the first time in five games against the Timberwolves. In his return to action, he scored 22 points with 12 rebounds. Ayton couldn't have come back at a better time because Frank Kaminsky left Monday's game early with a leg injury and he's questionable for Wednesday's game. Kaminski averaged 14.2 points, six rebounds and 1.2 blocks in Ayton's absence.
How to make Mavericks vs. Suns picks
The model has simulated Suns vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Suns vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.