Philadelphia 76ers at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

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The Philadelphia 76ers (8-6) stop by Vivint Arena for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off with the Utah Jazz (8-5) Tuesday. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Philly is a loser of four in a row since big Joel Embiid went on the COVID-list (0-4 ATS). The Sixers have the third-worst defensive efficiency, the 23rd-ranked rebounding rate and the 24th-ranked net rating over that span. Philadelphia is 7-7 ATS and 6-7-1 O/U.

Utah has lost four of its last five games including back-to-back home games to the Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat entering Tuesday. Jazz big Rudy Gobert has the NBA's second-best rebounding rate, second-best defensive rating and the 10th-best PER. Utah is 7-6 ATS and 4-9 O/U with the third-best net rating.

These teams split last year's season series 1-1 with the home team winning and covering both meetings. The game Philly lost to Utah was without Embiid and Ben Simmons had perhaps the best game of his career. However, Simmons is currently AWOL.

76ers at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:48 a.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Jazz -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +9.5 (-120) | Jazz -9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Jazz key injuries

76ers

C Joel Embiid (health and safety protocols) out
SF Matisse Thybulle (health and safety protocols) out
SG Danny Green (hamstring) out

Jazz

Nothing affecting gambling odds

76ers at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 115, Sixers 104

Money line

PASS because Utah is obviously the right side in this one but the Jazz (-450) is way too expensive for any NBA regular-season money line favorite.

Utah has suffered some goofy losses recently. The Jazz lost by double digits to the Pacers at home as 11.5-point favorites Thursday and to the lowly Orlando Magic Nov. 7.

Against the spread

"LEAN" to the JAZZ -9.5 (-105) for a half unit because Utah should have success on offense given the absence of several Philly starters. Also, the Jazz have struggled recently so I'd be surprised if they weren't fully engaged for this game.

Utah has the highest frequency of rim-and-3-point shot rate in the league according to ShotQuality.com, so we know it's are going to attack the basket and chuck 3-pointers.

Since Embiid has been out of the lineup, Philly has the fifth-worst defensive field goal percentage vs. shots at the rim and the second-worst defensive 3-point shooting percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

That said, I only "LEAN" to the JAZZ -9.5 (-105) because all of their perceived edges are accounted for in the line and Utah ranks 20th in net rating over the past five games. If the Jazz can lose to the Magic then they can certainly lose to a well-coach Sixers squad.

Over/Under

"LEAN" to the OVER 215.5 (-110) for a half-unit since a vast majority of the market is betting the Under, according to Pregame.com. Both teams have been struggling defensively over the past week or so.

In their four games without Embiid, the Sixers are allowing the most second-chance points per game, the most fastbreak points per game and third-most paint points per game.

Also, the Jazz have the 24th-ranked defensive efficiency and have the second-worst defensive effective field goal shooting over their last five games.

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