Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

USA Today Sportsbookwire

The Golden State Warriors (2-0) head over to the state's capital to play the Sacramento Kings (1-1) for a 9 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State has beaten both L.A. basketball teams to open its season. First, the Warriors upset the Los Angeles Lakers 121-114 as 3.5-point home underdogs Tuesday then held off the Los Angeles Clippers at home Thursday 115-113 but failed to cover as 4-point favorites.

Sactown lost at home vs. the Utah Jazz 110-101 as a 6-point underdog Friday after beating the Portland Trail Blazers 124-121 as 6.5-point road underdogs Wednesday.

The Warriors won last season's series vs. the Kings 2-1 but only covered once and, in fact, Sactown is 9-1 against the spread vs. Golden State in the last 10 meetings.

Warriors at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Kings +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -3.5 (-108) | Kings +3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (hip) questionable
SG Klay Thompson (Achilles) out
C James Wiseman (knee) out
SF Jonathan Kuminga (knee) out

Kings

None

Warriors at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 121, Warriors 116

Money line

PASS with a slight "lean" to the Kings (+125) because I think Sactown covers the spread, but the money line payout isn't fat enough.

Another reason why I cannot get behind the Kings winning this game outright is how well Steph Curry plays against Sactown and De'Aaron Fox.

In their five all-time head-to-head meetings, Curry is 5-0 while averaging 33.2 points per game (PPG), 6.0 rebounds per game (RPG) and 5.8 assists per game (APG). Fox is averaging just 17.0 PPG on 39.2% shooting.

Against the spread

"LEAN" to the KINGS +3.5 (-112) for a half unit because Sactown usually keeps it close with its Northern California neighbors.

Also, Kings head coach Luke Walton previously worked on Warriors head coach Steve Kerr's staff, which probably factors into Sactown covering two of three meetings with Golden State last season.

More importantly, this is a " Pros vs. Joe's" game in the betting market. According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Kings, but nearly 85% of the bets placed are on the Warriors.

Typically, in sports betting, it's wise to follow the money especially when it's flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

However, this is more of a "LEAN" on the KINGS +3.5 (-112) because the Warriors have looked like an elite thus far.

Over/Under

"LEAN" to the OVER 234.5 (-108) because it's been hit by " sharp line movement" that has caused oddsmakers to move to the Warriors-Kings total up from the 231-point opener.

Furthermore, the Kings have played the third-highest rate of Overs at home since the start of 2019 at 38-29-1 O/U.

It's only a "lean" because the Warriors have played the highest rate of Under on the road since 2019 at 28-41 O/U and we are getting the worst of the number.

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