In an action-packed Saturday, the EPL returns with Burnley (0 wins, 4 losses, 3 draws) traveling to take on Manchester City (4-1-2). The match is set to kick off at 10 a.m. ET and will be held at Etihad Stadium. Below, we preview the Manchester City vs. Burnley odds and lines, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
After a week off of league action, Man City well get what should be considered an easier matchup. However, they’ll be without F Jesus and GK Ederson both of which are considered doubtful. D Benjamin Mendy will also be out.
They’ll still be strong favorites given their world-class midfield. Taking on the 18th-ranked Burnley, City should be able to take of business. They do have an ugly draw to Southampton on their resume this season.
As for Burnley, their best outing was probably a 2-2 draw with Leicester City.
They’ll be without six players on Saturday, two of which have scored their four goals on the season (technically five for Burnely but they had an own goal as well).
Manchester City vs. Burnley: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Manchester City -750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Burnley +2000 (bet $100 to win $2000) | Draw +770
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Prediction
Manchester City 3, Burnley 0
Money line (ML)
PASS on the money line. There’s no denying Man City is the clear favorite, and for good reason as well.
While there could be drama stirring with F Raheem Sterling, their midfield, led by Jack Grealish and Kevin de Bruyne is still the best in the world. With a draw to Southampton, Man City cannot necessarily be trusted, especially at -750.
A bet I would take though is BOTH TEAMS NOT TO SCORE at -175. The risk is still there, which is why the following section will have the match’s best value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET on the UNDER 3.5 (-125) as the best value.
A bet on both teams not to score is virtually a bet on Burnley to be shut out. It’s a good one, as Burnley has only tallied four actual goals and two of their four scorers are sidelined.
As for Man City, as noted, they’ll be down Jesus and Sterling may be starting to have issues if he’s not consistently in the starting XI. They average two goals per game and have only tallied more than two twice. They put five on a severely short-handed Arsenal and Norwich City.
It’d be shocking to see them absolutely obliterate a Burnley club that’s given up just 11 goals in seven games. Expect a Man City win, and it may be a sizeable margin. Even if, the Under 3.5 should be a good play.
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