The Indianapolis Colts (1-3) aren't out of the AFC South picture yet, but they sure could use a win to stay in it on Monday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens (3-1). Lamar Jackson has given a herculean effort to keep the Ravens atop the AFC North, but he needs to keep producing to keep pace with the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals. Caesars Sportsbook currently lists the total passing yards over-under for his counterpart, Colts QB Carson Wentz, at 224.5 yards. Amid Indianapolis' struggles this season, Wentz has only failed to hit that number once in four games.
A comprehensive computer model can help you objectively choose the right side to take on the numerous player props listed for Colts vs. Ravens and help you earn a long-term profit. Before making any NFL prop bets for Monday Night Football, you need to see the see the Ravens vs. Colts prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, the player over-under prop picks went 389-310, returning over $3,000.
With Ravens vs. Colts on Monday Night Football, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Ravens vs. Colts
After simulating Ravens vs. Colts 10,000 times, the model predicts that Ravens QB Lamar Jackson will easily surpass 228.5 passing yards and finish with 255. In his last two games, Jackson has thrown for 287 yards against Detroit and 316 yards against Denver. His rushing totals have subsequently diminished over the last two weeks as well, due to a greater emphasis on the Ravens' passing attack.
Jackson's passing totals are significantly higher than last year, but Baltimore's running backs has been decimated since the preseason. Indianapolis' defense has only had to contend with 110 passing attempts from opposing quarterbacks, which is the third-lowest total in the NFL. Those passes have yielded 867 yards, which is ninth-lowest in the league. The situation is different this time around against a Baltimore team that predicates nearly its entire offense on one player.
SportsLine's NFL model also has Baltimore receiver Marquise Brown topping his total of 55.5 receiving yards. The projections see Brown's threat as a big-play receiver maximizing his targets, and pushing for five catches and 73 yards through the air. Brown has 13 catches this season that have all gone for more than 10 yards, and may not need more than a few receptions to get to 56.
Baltimore's top receiver is actually second in targets to Sammy Watkins at his position, although the pecking order could shift with the potential return of Rashod Bateman from injured reserve. Jackson has thrown a higher percentage of 'catchable' passes to Brown, and he far-and-away leads the team in yards after reception. Even in Brown's worst performance of the season in Week 3, he finished just three yards shy of the total he needs to hit on Monday night.
How to make NFL player prop bets for Colts vs. Ravens
In addition, the model says another star easily surpasses his yardage total and has a plus-money prop payout you'll want to jump on. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Ravens vs. Colts prop bets for Monday.
Which Ravens vs. Colts prop bets should you back on Monday Night Football? And which star is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Colts vs. Ravens prop bets, all from the model that's up almost $7,900 on top-rated NFL picks.