Monday Night Football in Week 4 features a pivotal AFC West clash as the Las Vegas Raiders (3-0) visit the Los Angeles Chargers (2-1). Both teams are top 10 in total offense, which means you could back plenty of overs in your Monday Night Football props. Caesars Sportsbook currently lists the over-under for Derek Carr passing yards at 281.5 despite the fact that Carr has thrown for at least 382 yards in all three of his starts so far this season. Should you include Carr in your NFL prop bets, and what other NFL props should you target as these two dynamic offenses square off?
A reliable computer model can help you figure out what to do with the dozens of NFL player props listed for Monday Night Football and help you earn a long-term profit. Before submitting any NFL prop bets for Chargers vs. Raiders, you need to see the Raiders vs. Chargers prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush prop picks. Last season, the player over-under prop picks went 389-310, returning over $3,000.
With Chargers vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.,
Top NFL player prop bets for Chargers vs. Raiders
After simulating Raiders vs. Chargers 10,000 times, the model predicts that Justin Herbert will easily surpass 293.5 passing yards and finish with 332. Entering Week 4, Herbert ranked fourth in the NFL with 956 passing yards, and the 2020 NFL Rookie of the Year has now surpassed 300 passing yards 10 times in 18 career starts.
The only time in 2021 that Herbert hasn't topped 293.5 passing yards was last week in a win over the Chiefs in which Kansas City ran the ball effectively to keep the Chargers' offense off the field. Herbert still finished with a respectable 281 passing yards in that contest. Against a Raiders defense that ranks 14th against the pass after facing three teams that have struggled to throw the ball (Ravens, Steelers and Dolphins), expect Herbert to light it up.
SportsLine's NFL model also has Raiders wide receiver Henry Ruggs III easily going over his total receiving yards line of 46.5. The model sees Ruggs continuing to showcase his big-play ability, as he averages 58 yards (18.3 yards per catch) in 10,000 simulations of Chargers vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football.
Ruggs had an underwhelming rookie season overall, but flashed big-play potential by averaging 17.3 yards per reception. Now, he's taken on a bigger role in the offense and more regularly shown he can take the top off defenses. Through three weeks, Ruggs has 11 catches for 237 yards and a touchdown. He hasn't had fewer than 46 yards in a game this season and in the last two weeks he's had a 113-yard output and a 78-yard output.
How to make NFL player prop bets for Chargers vs. Raiders
In addition, the model says another star easily surpasses his yardage total and has a plus-money prop payout you'll want to jump on. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Raiders vs. Chargers prop bets for Monday.
Which Chargers vs. Raiders prop bets should you back on Monday Night Football? And which star is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Raiders vs. Chargers prop bets for Monday, all from the model that's up almost $7,800 on top-rated NFL picks.