Special Report

These Are the Counties In the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Fastest

Michael Ciaglo / Getty Images News via Getty Images

After adding over 934,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 42.1 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 670,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 45.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 49.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, metro area consists of Dallas County, Tarrant County, Collin County, and eight other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 64.0 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Dallas residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is a decrease from the week prior, when there was an average of 73.6 daily new cases per 100,000 Dallas residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Rockwall County. There were an average of 88.5 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Rockwall County during the past week, the most of the 11 counties in Dallas with available data.

Case growth in the Dallas metro area varies at the county level. In Dallas County, for example, there were an average of 49.9 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Dallas and more than the case growth rate in Rockwall County.

While Rockwall County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Dallas area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of September 23, there were a total of 16,687.4 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Rockwall County, the third most of the 11 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 12,985.5 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Rockwall County, unemployment peaked at 11.7% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 5.2%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending September 23. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Texas where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September. 23 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September. 16 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Rockwall County 97,175 88.5 115.4 16,687.4 195.5
2 Tarrant County 2,049,770 87.5 86.5 16,465.7 201.9
3 Parker County 133,811 84.3 114.4 16,375.3 186.1
4 Ellis County 173,772 83.8 130.0 17,524.7 224.4
5 Kaufman County 123,804 81.6 124.3 17,812.8 281.9
6 Hunt County 94,162 77.4 113.1 10,495.7 253.8
7 Wise County 66,290 71.4 155.8 15,699.2 241.4
8 Johnson County 167,212 66.6 87.3 15,262.7 267.9
9 Denton County 833,822 51.2 48.5 11,695.8 106.3
10 Collin County 973,977 50.2 70.3 12,450.7 100.5
11 Dallas County 2,606,868 49.9 58.4 14,581.6 180.3

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