Special Report

This Is the County in the College Station-Bryan, TX Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest

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After adding over 934,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 42.1 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 670,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 45.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 49.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The College Station-Bryan, TX, metro area consists of Brazos County, Burleson County, and Robertson County. In the past week, there were an average of 68.1 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 College Station residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 63.9 daily new cases per 100,000 College Station residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the College Station-Bryan metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Robertson County. There were an average of 48.4 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Robertson County during the past week, the least of the three counties in College Station with available data.

Case growth in the College Station metro area is relatively uniform at the county level. In Brazos County, for example, there were an average of 70.6 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any county in College Station yet relatively in line with the case growth rate in Robertson County.

While Robertson County has the slowest case growth in the College Station area, it does not have the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of September 23, there were a total of 16,539.1 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Robertson County, the second fewest of the three counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 12,985.5 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Robertson County, unemployment peaked at 8.6% in May 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 6.6%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending September 23. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Texas where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September 23 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September 16 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Robertson County 16,990 48.4 89.7 16,539.1 353.1
2 Burleson County 18,058 55.5 85.0 16,884.5 304.6
3 Brazos County 222,981 70.6 60.3 15,341.7 141.3

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