Winning close games has led to a less than favorable view of the Oklahoma Sooners. Though they were able to stay put in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll, the Oregon Ducks gained on them. Oklahoma dropped one spot in the AP Top 25 poll to no. 4, being replaced in the top three by those same Oregon Ducks.
In light of their one score win over Nebraska, the Sooners’ win probability dropped in all but one of their remaining nine games of the season. The only game where the Sooners win probability improved was against the lowly Kansas Jayhawks.
Check out how the updated ESPN Football Power Index sees the rest of the Sooners schedule playing out and make sure to take a peak at the latest Big 12 Power Rankings.
Sept. 25 vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
Sep 18, 2021; Morgantown, West Virginia, USA; West Virginia Mountaineers cornerbacks Jackie Matthews (3) and Nicktroy Fortune (11) celebrate after a stop late in the fourth quarter against the Virginia Tech Hokies at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman)
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 90% (down from 92.8%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 10-2
Projected running record: 4-0
Oct. 2 at Kansas State Wildcats
Sep 18, 2021; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Will Howard (15) runs away from Nevada Wolf Pack defensive end Jack Powers (23) during the third quarter at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 84.4% (up from 90.8%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma Leads 76-21-4
Projected running record: 5-0
Oct. 9 vs. Texas Longhorns
Sep 18, 2021; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns running back Bijan Robinson (5) dives in for the touchdown against the Rice Owls during the first quarter at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Gutierrez-USA TODAY Sports
Cotton Bowl
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 69.1% (down from 81.5%)
All-Time Series: Texas leads 62-49-5
Projected running record: 6-0
Oct. 16 vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Sep 11, 2021; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; California Golden Bears offensive lineman Valentino Daltoso (61) and TCU Horned Frogs defensive end Ochaun Mathis (32) in action during the game between the TCU Horned Frogs and the California Golden Bears at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman)
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 87.9% (down from 89.7%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 16-5
Projected running record: 7-0
Oct. 23 at Kansas Jayhawks
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 98.6% (up from 98.5%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 78-27-6
Projected running record: 8-0
Oct. 30 vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Sep 18, 2021; Lubbock, Texas, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders tight end Mason Tharp (80) breaks a tackle by Florida International Panthers safety Dorian Hall (0) to score a touchdown in the second half at Jones AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman)
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 88.7% (down from 93.3%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 22-6
Projected running record: 9-0
Nov. 13 at Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears junior tight end Ben Sims (86) gets tripped up by Kansas Jayhawks super senior Ricky Thomas Jr. (3) in the first half Saturday at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
McLane Stadium
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 80.1% (down from 87.3%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 28-3
Projected running record: 10-0
Nov. 20 vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Sep 18, 2021; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Iowa State Cyclones running back Breece Hall (28) is hit by UNLV Rebels defensive back Nohl Williams (2) during a game at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 79.5% (down from 87.6%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 77-7-2
Projected running record: 11-0
Nov. 27 at Oklahoma State Cowboys
Sep 18, 2021; Boise, Idaho, USA; Oklahoma State Cowboys defensive tackle Israel Antwine (95) tackles Boise State Broncos quarterback Hank Bachmeier (19) during the second half at Albertsons Stadium. Oklahoma State won 21-20. Mandatory Credit: Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports
Boone Pickens Stadium
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 85.7% (down from 89.8%)
All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 90-18-7
Projected running record: 12-0
