After adding over 1,076,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 41.2 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 650,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 49.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 45.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Fort Smith, AR-OK, metro area consists of Sebastian County, Crawford County, Sequoyah County, and one other county. In the past week, there were an average of 80.5 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Fort Smith residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 79.8 daily new cases per 100,000 Fort Smith residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Fort Smith metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Crawford County. There were an average of 103.5 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Crawford County during the past week, the most of the four counties in Fort Smith with available data.

Case growth in the Fort Smith metro area varies at the county level. In Sebastian County, for example, there were an average of 68.9 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Fort Smith and more than the case growth rate in Crawford County.

While Crawford County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Fort Smith area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of September 16, there were a total of 15,704.7 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Crawford County, the second most of the four counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 12,697.8 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Crawford County, unemployment peaked at 9.4% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.4%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending September 16. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Arkansas where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA	County	Population	New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September. 16	New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September. 9	Cumulative cases per 100,000	Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1	Crawford County	62,739	103.5	77.2	15,704.7	245.5
2	Franklin County	17,738	91.5	87.7	14,285.7	265.0
3	Sequoyah County	41,709	76.7	96.6	14,208.0	165.4
4	Sebastian County	127,591	68.9	74.5	16,234.7	252.4

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