In an action-packed EPL Saturday, Everton (3 wins, 0 losses, 1 draw) travel to take on Aston Villa (1-2-1). Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET at Villa Park. Below, we preview the Aston Villa vs. Everton odds and lines, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Everton has won three straight games, including a second-round win in the EFL Cup. Its only match this season that didn’t result in three points was a draw with Leeds United; its most impressive win was 2-0 at Brighton.
The loss of M Jack Grealish this season has created a void in the middle for Aston Villa. Villa is coming off being thrashed 3-0 by Chelsea, one of the best teams in the EPL, and is currently sitting 12th in the table.
Aston Villa vs. Everton: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at noon ET.
- Money line: Everton +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Aston Villa +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Draw +235
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Everton 2, Aston Villa 1
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to EVERTON (+205) as the value is just too good for a top-five side to win. Everton has been handling business against bottom- and mid-tier opponents despite not being quite in the Chelsea-calibre tier.
Everton is no stranger to being on the road, either, as its best win on the season is at Brighton.
Everton’s attack is what has set them apart so far but they’re also one of nine teams that have not given up 4 total goals on the season.
I expect Everton to come out on top against a flawed Aston Villa side, and would certainly put half a unit on it at this value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET on the OVER 2.5 (-102) as both sides have the attacking prowess that should help make this an entertaining match.
While Aston Villa isn’t a great attacking side on paper, it’s managed to score in every game except against Chelsea and scored at least 2 goals in two of its three other games.
Everton is strong defensively, but it has also allowed a goal per game and scored more than 2 goals per game. Everton has seen 14 total goals in its four games while Aston Villa has seen 12 goals in four games, both averaging a combined 3 or more total goals per game.
Aston Villa allowed 3 goals to Watford – the only 3 goals Watford has scored across four games. Villa also allowed 3 to Chelsea. Everton has a solid attack fronted by 25-year-old M Demarai Gray. Gray is tied for the club lead with 3 goals.
Everton’s elite attackers should be able to make something happen up top, and given their track record this season, Aston Villa should also find a way to get on the board.
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