MLB playoffs: 3 reasons Red Sox are set to beat Yankees in AL Wild-Card race

New York Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo (48, right) reacts after he made the play for the final out in the top of the 9th inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez throws out Boston Red Sox's Kevin Plawecki over third baseman Rougned Odor on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees celebrate after the final out in the top of the 9th inning was confirmed against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees Rougned Odor (12) rounds third base and motors home to score the Yanks' second run of the game in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

Boston Red Sox left fielder J.D. Martinez (28) can't catch this single hit by New York Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez (24) in the second inning on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman (54) watches the flight of a solo home run hit by Boston Red Sox right fielder Hunter Renfroe (10) in the top of the 9th inning on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees manager Aaron Boone (17) and catcher Gary Sanchez walk out to the mound to pull closer Aroldis Chapman in the 9th inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

A fan holds up a sign that reads 'Yanks Sweep Sox' as the Bombers take the lead in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Rougned Odor (12) was originally called out by umpire Jerry Meals (41, right) in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The call was overturned after video review and Odor would score the Yankees second run of the game.

A fan offers to trade his brothers for an autograph from New York Yankees slugger Aaron Judge (99) before the first pitch against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

Boston Red Sox left fielder J.D. Martinez (28) can't catch this single hit by New York Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez (24) in the second inning on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

The scene on the mound in the second inning as Boston Red Sox manager Alex Cora (13, right) comes out to remove starting pitcher Nick Pivetta (37, center) from the game on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees third baseman Rougned Odor (12) salute the bleacher creatures during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) watches the flight of a home run hit by Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) in the first inning on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99, left) and manager Aaron Boone (17) in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) pounds his right bicep as he rounds third after he hit a solo home run in the first inning against the New York Yankees on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees left fielder Brett Gardner (11) legs out an infield hit as Boston Red Sox first baseman Bobby Dalbec (29) can't handle the throw on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo flies out to left during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees starting pitcher Andrew Heaney (38) delivers the first pitch against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99, left) and manager Aaron Boone (17) in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees starting pitcher Andrew Heaney (38) was on the mound against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71) is congratulated by manager Aaron Boone (17) after Velazquez scored in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) grimaces during an at-bat during the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo (48, right) speaks with third base coach Phil Nevin (88) during the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees celebrate after the final out in the top of the 9th inning was confirmed against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees first baseman Luke Voit (59) did not play on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo (48, right) reacts after he made the play for the final out in the top of the 9th inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71) makes a play at short on a ground ball hit by Boston Red Sox first baseman Bobby Dalbec in the 8th inning on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71) makes a play at short on a ground ball hit by Boston Red Sox first baseman Bobby Dalbec in the 8th inning on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71) delivers an RBI single in the second inning against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman reacts after he walked a Boston Red Sox batter in the 9th on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71), a Bronx native, in the field against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton (27, left) and manager Aaron Boone (17) in the dugout against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71) takes off from first base as Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Josh Taylor (38) delivers a pitch on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

New York Yankees shortstop Andrew Velazquez (71), a Bronx native, during an at bat against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, August 18, 2021 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won, 5-2.

Nowhere to go but up.

That’s what’s facing the Yankees after their 3-2 loss to the Baltimore Orioles Thursday at Camden Yards.

New York sits a half-game behind the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays in the American League Wild-Card race. And it’s possible that’s where the Yankees will stay.

The Blue Jays have perhaps the game’s best hitter (Vladimir Guerrero Jr.) leading a red-hot offense that has the most home runs in baseball (233) and a Cy Young Award contender (Robbie Ray) who leads the American League in ERA (2.64). And don’t forget the Blue Jays are peaking at the right time, going an AL-best 8-2 in their last 10 games.

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Then there are the Red Sox. Here are three reasons why Boston could deal a knockout blow to the Yankees’ playoff aspirations.

Getting healthy

A surprise contender early in the season, the Red Sox fell back to the pack, especially as COVID-19 ravaged the club after the All-Star break (with a dozen players landing on the COVID IL list).

But there’s the rub. Boston is getting reinforcements for the stretch run. Ace Chris Sale and All-Star closer Matt Barnes both are expected to return on Friday.

Remaining games

The Red Sox have just 14 games remaining in the regular season. The Yankees have 15, the Blue Jays have 16. Yes, that’s fewer opportunities to gain ground, but it also means Boston has three off days remaining. The Boston Globe explains why that’s so important:

They can use Sale and Nate Eovaldi a combined seven times on normal rest, with Nick Pivetta and Eduardo Rodriguez positioned to cover six games. That would allow No. 5 starter Tanner Houck to be a relief pitcher, a role well-suited for his fastball/slider combination.

Upcoming opponents

Then there are games themselves. The Red Sox have one series remaining with a team that has a winning record - the Yankees. Boston plays the Orioles and Washington Nationals, both last place teams, a combined nine times before the season ends.

The Blue Jays also have a weak schedule, with 10 of their final 16 games against teams with a losing record. The Yankees have the toughest schedule, with nine games left against winning teams.

New York ends the season with three-game series at Boston, at Toronto and home against the AL East-leading Tampa Bay Rays.

Here’s how the current wild-card standings look:

Blue Jays (82-64): --

Red Sox (83-65): --

Yankees (82-65): 0.5

Oakland A’s (79-67): 3

Seattle Mariners (78-68): 4

Here are the games of note Friday which will impact the AL wild-card race:

Cleveland Indians @ Yankees (7:05 p.m. ET)

Minnesota Twins @ Blue Jays (7:07 p.m. ET)

Orioles @ Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)

Mariners @ Kansas City Royals (8:10 p.m. ET)

A’s @ Los Angeles Angels (9:38 p.m. ET)

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Mike Rosenstein may be reached at mrosenstein@njadvancemedia.com.

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