It should be an entertaining clash between desperate teams on Friday when Newcastle United hosts Leeds United in an English Premier League match. Both teams are seeking a first victory after four games, and they have combined to give up 23 goals in their eight matches. Leeds (0-2-2) won both meetings last season, its first in the Premier League after spending 16 years in the second-tier Championship. Newcastle (0-1-3) spent most of last season battling to avoid being relegated for the second time in the past 11 years. The Magpies spent the 2016-17 season in the second level but earned promotion in their first try.
Kickoff from St. James' Park is set for 3 p.m. ET. Leeds is the +135 favorite (risk $100 to win $135) in the latest Newcastle vs. Leeds odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Newcastle is the +200 underdog, a draw is priced at +245 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Leeds vs. Newcastle picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken a close look at the Newcastle vs. Leeds matchup and revealed his Premier League expert picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the EPL odds and betting trends for Leeds vs. Newcastle:
- Newcastle vs. Leeds spread: Leeds -0.5 (+130)
- Newcastle vs. Leeds over-under: 2.5 goals
- Newcastle vs. Leeds money line: Newcastle +200, Leeds +135, Draw +245
- Newcastle: Joe Willock had eight goals in 14 matches last season.
- Leeds: Patrick Bamford had 56 goals over the past four seasons.
Why you should back Leeds
The Whites took 30 points and had a plus-1 goal differential in 19 road matches last season, while Newcastle was minus-9 with 22 points at St. James' Park. Newcastle has won one of its last five league home matches. Leeds dominated possession in both meetings last season, holding the ball for 69 percent of the match and firing 25 shots (10 on target) in a 5-2 home win. It held 58 percent possession in the return match and got a 2-1 victory despite yielding 22 shots.
The Whites are typically aggressive in attack, and they scored 62 goals last season on their way to a ninth-place finish. Leeds hasn't gone without a victory in its first five league games in the Premier League since 1946-47. The attack is led by Patrick Bamford, who has one of the team's four goals after tying for fourth in the league with 17 last season. Jack Harrison, who scored in both meetings last season, also can exploit a defense that has allowed a league-high 12 goals.
Why you should back Newcastle
The Magpies have scored in 14 of the past 15 league meetings and had lost one of the previous 11 matchups (7-3-1) before being swept last season. They have been beset by injuries, but Allan Saint-Maximin is capable up top, and midfielders Migel Almiron and Joe Willock should be able to break down a depleted Leeds defense. Leeds is without three key defenders, with Pascal Struijk serving a red-card suspension and Diego Llorente and Robin Koch injured.
Newcastle will be desperate to get points with winnable games against Leeds and Watford on the slate. The Whites are vulnerable on the counter-attack, and the Magpies exploited that in their matchup at St. James' Park last year. They outshot Leeds 22-9 (5-2 on target), and Almiron equalized in the 57th minute before Harrison's winner four minutes later. The Magpies were tied 1-1 with Man United after 60 minutes last week before a late barrage in the 4-1 loss.
How to make Leeds vs. Newcastle picks
Green has taken a close look at Friday's matchup. He's going over on the goal total, and he's also locked in a pair of other best bets, including one on the side. He's only sharing his expert EPL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Newcastle vs. Leeds? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.