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Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers (89-56) and Detroit Tigers (69-76) cap off an abbreviated two-game series Wednesday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 9-8 with a 2.48 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 163 1/3 IP across 27 starts.

  • Woodruff is coming off a clunker and a protracted rest interval. He allowed 4 earned runs on 9 hits, including 3 home runs, in a home loss Sept. 6 to the Philadelphia Phillies. He was skipped over in his next scheduled start due to a stomach problem.
  • Owns a 4.31 ERA over his last six road starts.

RHP Matt Manning is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 3-6 with a 6.14 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 66 IP through 14 starts.

  • Manning was pulled after 3 innings in his last start because he took a line drive to the left knee. He coughed up 8 ER the turn before that, but across three starts from Aug. 12-27 logged a 3.24 ERA.
  • Has been hurt by a .325 batting average on balls in play and a low 61.4% left on base rate.

Brewers at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -2.5 (+102) | Tigers +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Tigers 5, Brewers 4

Money line (ML)

Milwaukee had a five-game win streak snapped with a 1-0 loss in Tuesday’s opener. Improved batting and continued excellence on the mound have propelled the Brewers to a 23-10 mark over their last 33 games.

The Brewers averaged 5.1 runs per game with a .781 OPS at the plate over that span, and their pitchers have recorded a 3.43 ERA to back it up. Their 3.7 RPG allowed for the season is third in MLB.

Detroit has won four of its last five games. Tuesday’s win came in 11 innings; so did Sunday’s 8-7 victory against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Woodruff may be get-able on his extended rest. He owns a 5.44 ERA over four games this season with 6-plus days of rest. Consider a split play, putting a half-unit on DETROIT (+200) and a half-unit on a +2.5 run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Close the loop on the above with a DETROIT +2.5 (-125) play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg the decisions underlying the total as swinging 10 different ways.

A sliver of a sliver of a lean exists on the Over, but the leverage isn’t there for a play. PASS.

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