The Cleveland Indians (67-66) and Boston Red Sox (79-59) play the finale of a three-game series Sunday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians at Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Indians RHP Zach Plesac (9-4, 4.49 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 through 114 1/3 IP.
- Allowed no runs and just 2 hits and no walks against 7 strikeouts across 7 IP in a win against the Kansas City Royals Tuesday.
- Has won three straight decisions across his last four starts, and he hasn’t lost since Aug. 3, a span of five outings.
Red Sox RHP Nick Pivetta (9-7, 4.67 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 through 135 IP.
- Was pounded for 4 runs on 6 hits and 5 walks with 6 strikeouts across just 5 IP Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Has a 4-2 record, 5.60 ERA and .845 opponent OPS across 64 1/3 IP spanning 13 home starts.
Indians at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Red Sox -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (bet +133)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Prediction
Indians 4, Red Sox 3
Money line (ML)
The INDIANS (+122) are a solid play in the series finale, as Plesac has been pitching well lately, and Pivetta hasn’t fared nearly as well for the Red Sox.
Boston outscored Cleveland 12-8 in the first two games of this series, including a 4-3 win Saturday; however, look for the Indians to salvage something out of the series.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The INDIANS +1.5 (-165) aren’t as good of a value as they are straight up, obviously, but if you’re not feeling Cleveland to win in an upset and want some insurance, have at it.
The Indians covered the run line in Saturday’s affair, even though they lost. So, it’s not a terrible play.
Over/Under (O/U)
Playing UNDER 9.5 (-112) is the way to go. While Pivetta has been a little shaky lately, the Under is still 6-1 across his last seven outings, and 8-2 across the past 10 starts for the right-hander.
While the Over is an eye-popping 6-0-2 across Plesac’s past eight starts, it’s mostly due to the offense, and not his fault. He allowed 2 or fewer runs in three of his last four outings.
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