Special Report

COVID-19: Watertown-Fort Drum, NY Metro Area Among the Safest in America

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The U.S. reported over 718,000 new cases of coronavirus on August 3, bringing the total count to more than 34.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 608,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a faster rate. In the past week, there were an average of 22.8 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 17.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Watertown-Fort Drum, NY metro area consists of just Jefferson County. As of August 3, there were 5,555.6 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Watertown residents, the 17th lowest rate of all 383 metro areas with available data. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 10,780.8 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Watertown-Fort Drum metro area, unemployment peaked at 17.1% in April 2020. As of May 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 5.5%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Watertown-Fort Drum, NY metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in New York where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of August 3 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of August 3 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of August 3 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of August 3 per 100,000 residents
35620 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 19,294,236 2,360,998 12,236.8 64,310 333.3
39100 Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY 673,839 79,019 11,726.7 1,294 192.0
15380 Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY 1,130,175 111,073 9,827.9 2,191 193.9
46540 Utica-Rome, NY 292,016 28,117 9,628.6 628 215.1
13780 Binghamton, NY 241,874 22,690 9,380.9 430 177.8
21300 Elmira, NY 84,895 7,849 9,245.5 137 161.4
40380 Rochester, NY 1,072,877 92,315 8,604.4 1,452 135.3
45060 Syracuse, NY 652,416 51,912 7,956.9 862 132.1
28740 Kingston, NY 178,665 14,148 7,918.7 258 144.4
10580 Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 880,736 67,476 7,661.3 896 101.7
48060 Watertown-Fort Drum, NY 112,842 6,269 5,555.6 68 60.3
24020 Glens Falls, NY 125,892 6,983 5,546.8 117 92.9
27060 Ithaca, NY 102,642 4,459 4,344.2 53 51.6

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